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Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 20

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

1 – 3 Full time

10′Cristian Ricaldez RojasK. Gutiérrez
27′Ronald Steven Bustos Torrelio
44′Adalid Terrazas
45′Gean Carlos Morais AlmeidaAlan Mercado
45′Luis Braihan Palma EscobarRonivan Bispo Dos Santos
45′Jefferson CariocaWillie
45′Rudy CardozoGustavo Cristaldo
45′Ronald Steven Bustos TorrelioMarcelo De Lima Castro
62′R. MenachoJ. Magallanes
79′Marcelo De Lima Castro
89′Sergio Favian·VillamilAndy Campos Pinedo
90′Adalid TerrazasA. Medina
90′Alan Mercado

Estadio Olimpico Patria, SucreReferee: E. Salazar

Independiente Petrolero 58%
Draw 23%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
57 Possession % 43
7 Corners 4
5 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
357 Accurate passes 185

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIndependiente PetroleroDrawSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
Model65.6%22.2%12.1%
Market55.9%22.8%21.3%
Final58.3%22.7%19.0%
Edge+9.7%-0.6%-9.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Independiente Petrolero

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Independiente Petrolero below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Independiente ↓ / San Antonio Bu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 10% 3 9% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Independiente Petrolero and San Antonio Bulo Bulo expected goals

Independiente Petrolero 1.99
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.74

Independiente Petrolero and San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack and defence ratings

Independiente Petrolero

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.11 +11%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Attack 0.51 -49%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: result vs prediction

Independiente Petrolero 1 – 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 20 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independiente Petrolero 58.3% 1.71 +9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Independiente Petrolero win 41.4% 2.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Independiente Petrolero58.3%
Draw22.7%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo19.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes46.4%
No53.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.0%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)41.7%
Handicap -1Independiente Petrolero win41.4%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss34.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.8%
1-011.9%
1-110.6%

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo stats

Independiente Petrolero and San Antonio Bulo Bulo recent form

newest first
Independiente Petrolero LLWLWW
San Antonio Bulo Bulo LLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Independiente Petrolero and San Antonio Bulo Bulo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Independiente Petrolero record

  • They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

San Antonio Bulo Bulo record

  • They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 19 matches.

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Independiente Petrolero wins 2Draws 5San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente PetroleroBolivia Primera División2-2
2025-10-27San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente PetroleroCopa de la División Profesional3-1
2025-10-12Independiente PetroleroSan Antonio Bulo BuloCopa de la División Profesional1-3
2025-09-20Independiente PetroleroSan Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División4-2
2025-05-02San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente PetroleroBolivia Primera División4-2
2024-12-12San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente PetroleroPrimera División3-1
2024-08-25Independiente PetroleroSan Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División3-3
2024-04-28Independiente PetroleroSan Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División3-1
2024-04-22San Antonio Bulo BuloIndependiente PetroleroPrimera División6-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.9%, draw 22.8%, away 21.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.61 3.90 4.38
Bet365 1.65 4.00 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 4.10 4.33
Betano 1.65 4.00 4.25
Betfair 1.62 4.20 4.20
Marathonbet 1.59 3.90 4.30
Pinnacle 1.64 3.99 4.09
William Hill 1.67 3.70 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.63 ▲ +0.01
X 4.00 —
2 4.28 ▼ -0.01

7 snapshots recorded, from .