Always Ready
vs
Independiente Petrolero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Always Ready
3 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero
| Probability | Always Ready | Draw | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 90.0% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| Market | 85.4% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Final | 86.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Edge | +4.6% | -2.5% | -2.1% |
Why Always Ready
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.61 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Always Ready below the model: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.09, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero match preview
Always Ready enters the match against Independiente Petrolero with a strong probability of winning at 87%. Their recent form shows three consecutive wins, along with two draws, indicating solid performance. The expected goals for Always Ready stand at 3.61, suggesting a high-scoring potential, with a most likely scoreline of 3-0, which has a 12% likelihood. The team's ability to score is reflected in the high percentage of over 2.5 goals at 79%.
In contrast, Independiente Petrolero has struggled recently, with three losses in their last five matches. Their expected goals are significantly lower at 0.59, highlighting difficulties in finding the net. The head-to-head record over the last three encounters shows a balanced competition, with each team claiming one win and one draw. However, the current form suggests that Always Ready is in a much stronger position heading into this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Always Ready and Independiente Petrolero expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.20
Always Ready and Independiente Petrolero attack and defence ratings
Always Ready
Independiente Petrolero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Always Ready | 86.5% | 1.16 | +4.6% | 1.09 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Always Ready win | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Always Ready | 86.5% |
| Draw | 9.4% | |
| Independiente Petrolero | 4.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 13.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Always Ready win | 76.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.3% | |
| Loss | 10.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 11.8% |
| 4-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero stats
Always Ready and Independiente Petrolero recent form
| Always Ready |
WWWDDD |
| Independiente Petrolero |
LLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Always Ready and Independiente Petrolero season so far
Always Ready record
- They have won 12 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
Independiente Petrolero record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Independiente Petrolero | Always Ready | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Independiente Petrolero | Always Ready | Bolivia Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2025-07-20 | Always Ready | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Always Ready vs Independiente Petrolero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 85.4%, draw 10.0%, away 4.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.04 | 9.10 | 19.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 11.00 | 21.00 |
| Betano | 1.09 | 8.50 | 18.50 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 11.00 | 23.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.07 | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 9.10 | 19.25 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 9.00 | 29.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .