Bolívar
vs
Blooming
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bolívar
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Bolívar vs Blooming overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bolívar vs Blooming
| Probability | Bolívar | Draw | Blooming |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.4% | 19.6% | 13.0% |
| Market | 84.4% | 11.0% | 4.6% |
| Final | 80.1% | 13.2% | 6.7% |
| Edge | -17.0% | +8.6% | +8.4% |
Why Bolívar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bolívar vs Blooming match preview
Bolívar enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 67%, reflecting their recent form of five wins and one loss in their last six matches. They are expected to score an average of 2.33 goals, with a 64% likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with a 10% probability.
In contrast, Blooming has shown mixed results, with two wins, three draws, and one loss in their last six matches. They are projected to score 0.95 goals, with a 56% chance of both teams finding the net. Historically, Bolívar has dominated their recent encounters, winning two of the last three matchups, while Blooming has yet to secure a victory against them.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bolívar and Blooming expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Bolívar and Blooming attack and defence ratings
Bolívar
Blooming
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bolívar vs Blooming markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolívar | 80.1% | 1.25 | -17.0% | 1.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bolívar win | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolívar | 80.1% |
| Draw | 13.2% | |
| Blooming | 6.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 19.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bolívar win | 45.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 32.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.1% |
Bolívar vs Blooming stats
Bolívar and Blooming recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bolívar and Blooming season so far
Bolívar record
- They have won 13 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Blooming record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
Bolívar vs Blooming head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Blooming | Bolívar | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Blooming | Bolívar | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Bolívar | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bolívar vs Blooming odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 84.4%, draw 11.0%, away 4.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06 | 8.10 | 19.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.06 | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| Betano | 1.11 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.05 | 10.50 | 23.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.07 | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 8.10 | 19.50 |
| William Hill | 1.08 | 8.00 | 34.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .