Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 21

Bolívar vs Blooming

1 – 0 Full time

10′Dairon Asprilla
47′Richard Spenhay
57′José Sagredo
62′Moisés VillarroelMiguel Angel Villarroel Tardio
66′Martín Cauterucciodorny romero
68′dorny romero
70′Guilmar Centella Bazan
73′Julio Demian Vila
76′Guilmar Centella BazanRoberto Carlos Melgar Simoes
84′Federico RamosGerardo Cuasace Osinaga
84′Roberto HinojosaAuli Oliveros
85′Ervin vacaanderson ayhuana
85′Robson MatheusCarlos Melgar
86′Leonel Justiniano
90′Jhon velasquezJesus Manuel Sagredo

Estadio Hernando Siles, La PazReferee: D. Rodriguez

Bolívar 82%
Draw 12%
Blooming 6%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 11
61 Possession % 39
9 Corners 4
14 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
10 Saves 4
336 Accurate passes 184

Bolívar vs Blooming overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bolívar vs Blooming

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolívarDrawBlooming
Model67.3%19.7%13.0%
Market86.4%9.5%4.1%
Final81.6%12.1%6.3%
Edge-4.8%+2.5%+2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bolívar

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bolívar ↓ / Blooming → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 9% 2 10% 10% 3 8% 8% 4+ 8% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Bolívar and Blooming expected goals

Bolívar 2.34
Blooming 0.96

Total expected goals: 3.29

Bolívar and Blooming attack and defence ratings

Bolívar

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Blooming

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bolívar vs Blooming: result vs prediction

Bolívar 1 – 0 Blooming

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 21 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Bolívar vs Blooming markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bolívar 81.6% 1.23 -4.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.9% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 93.7% 1.07 — —
Handicap -1 Bolívar win 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bolívar81.6%
Draw12.1%
Blooming6.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.9%
Under 2.536.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.4%
No43.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)93.7%
12 (either side)87.9%
X2 (draw or away)18.4%
Handicap -1Bolívar win45.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss32.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.1%
2-19.7%
1-19.1%

Bolívar vs Blooming stats

Bolívar and Blooming recent form

newest first
Bolívar WWWWWL
Blooming DWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bolívar and Blooming going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bolívar record

  • They have won 14 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Blooming record

  • They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.

Bolívar vs Blooming head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Bolívar wins 4Draws 0Blooming wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-09BloomingBolívarCopa de la División Profesional1-1
2026-09-27BolívarBloomingCopa de la División Profesional3-0
2026-05-10BloomingBolívarBolivia Primera División0-0
2026-02-28BloomingBolívarTorneo Amistoso de Verano1-3
2026-02-26BolívarBloomingTorneo Amistoso de Verano5-1
2025-12-19BolívarBloomingCopa de la División Profesional5-0
2025-12-16BloomingBolívarCopa de la División Profesional1-1
2025-10-18BloomingBolívarBolivia Primera División1-2
2025-08-16BloomingBolívarCopa de la División Profesional1-1
2025-05-22BolívarBloomingCopa de la División Profesional3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bolívar vs Blooming odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 86.4%, draw 9.5%, away 4.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.04 8.80 22.00
Bet365 1.07 11.00 23.00
BetVictor 1.06 10.50 22.00
Betano 1.08 8.75 19.00
Betfair 1.05 12.00 23.00
Dafabet 1.07 11.00 24.00
Marathonbet 1.04 8.80 22.00
William Hill 1.08 8.00 29.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.06 ▼ -0.04
X 9.65 ▲ +1.75
2 22.50 ▲ +8.78

12 snapshots recorded, from .