Real Potosí
vs
The Strongest
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Potosí
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Real Potosí vs The Strongest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Potosí vs The Strongest
| Probability | Real Potosí | Draw | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 30.6% | 22.3% |
| Market | 37.4% | 26.8% | 35.9% |
| Final | 39.8% | 27.7% | 32.5% |
| Edge | +9.8% | +3.9% | -13.6% |
Why Real Potosí
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.84.
- The market prices Real Potosí below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest match preview
Real Potosí and The Strongest are set to clash in the Bolivia Primera División on October 11, 2026. According to the model, Real Potosí has a 47% chance of winning, while The Strongest stands at 22%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Real Potosí, occurring with a 14% likelihood. The expected goals for Real Potosí are 1.34, compared to 0.84 for The Strongest.
In terms of recent form, Real Potosí has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while The Strongest has achieved five wins and one loss in the same period. The head-to-head record shows that in their last encounter, there were no wins for either team, with one draw. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting the model's assessment of the probabilities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Potosí and The Strongest expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Real Potosí and The Strongest attack and defence ratings
Real Potosí
The Strongest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Potosí vs The Strongest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 39.8% | 2.51 | +9.8% | 2.47 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 39.8% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| The Strongest | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Real Potosí vs The Strongest stats
Real Potosí and The Strongest recent form
| Real Potosí |
WWDLDD |
| The Strongest |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Potosí and The Strongest season so far
Real Potosí record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
The Strongest record
- They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.4%, draw 26.8%, away 35.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.39 | 3.42 | 2.45 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.39 | 3.42 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .