Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 21
Real Potosí
vs
The Strongest
1 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | Lucas Cristian Giménez | ||
| 45′ | Lucas Cristian GiménezG. Añazgo | ||
| 48′ | Dilan Saavedra | ||
| 62′ | Hugo Rojas | ||
| 62′ | Gerardo Maximiliano·GomezIgor Soares | ||
| 74′ | Jeferson Rivas TiradoLuis Alí | ||
| 82′ | Hugo Rojas | ||
| 83′ | Carlos VenturaLuiz Henrique Pachu Lira | ||
| 88′ | Hugo RojasStiven Plaza | ||
| 88′ | Martin Chiatti | ||
| 89′ | Adrian JusinoWiden Saucedo | ||
| 89′ | Dilan SaavedraRoy Ribertt | ||
| 90′ | Stiven Plaza | ||
| 90′ | Kevin Salvatierra |
Real Potosí
40%
Draw
27%
The Strongest
33%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 180 | Accurate passes | 190 |
Real Potosí vs The Strongest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Potosí vs The Strongest
| Probability | Real Potosí | Draw | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 30.6% | 22.3% |
| Market | 38.0% | 26.0% | 36.0% |
| Final | 40.2% | 27.2% | 32.6% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +1.1% | -3.4% |
Why Real Potosí
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.85.
- The market prices Real Potosí below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Real Potosí and The Strongest expected goals
Real Potosí
1.34
The Strongest
0.85
Total expected goals: 2.19
Real Potosí and The Strongest attack and defence ratings
Real Potosí
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.51 -49%
The Strongest
Attack
1.26 +26%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest: result vs prediction
Real Potosí 1 – 0 The Strongest
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Potosí vs The Strongest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 40.2% | 2.49 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 40.2% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| The Strongest | 32.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Real Potosí vs The Strongest stats
Real Potosí and The Strongest recent form
| Real Potosí |
WWDLDD |
| The Strongest |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Potosí and The Strongest going into this match
Real Potosí record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
The Strongest record
- They have won 12 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Real Potosí wins
1Draws
9The Strongest wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2021-10-23 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2021-07-10 | Real Potosí | The Strongest | Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2020-12-06 | Real Potosí | The Strongest | Primera División | 3-5 |
| 2020-01-29 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Primera División | 3-2 |
| 2019-12-22 | Real Potosí | The Strongest | Primera División | 1-3 |
| 2019-09-14 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Primera División | 6-2 |
| 2019-04-07 | Real Potosí | The Strongest | Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2019-01-30 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2018-11-03 | The Strongest | Real Potosí | Primera División | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Real Potosí vs The Strongest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.0%, draw 26.0%, away 36.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.45 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.45 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 2.34 | 3.54 | 2.53 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.40 ▼ -0.02
X
3.50 ▲ +0.06
2
2.53 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .