Oriente Petrolero
vs
ABB
Garuda Lions Prediction: Oriente Petrolero
3 – 0 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oriente Petrolero vs ABB
| Probability | Oriente Petrolero | Draw | ABB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.2% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Market | 63.4% | 20.3% | 16.3% |
| Final | 67.1% | 18.6% | 14.3% |
| Edge | +14.8% | -6.7% | -8.1% |
Why Oriente Petrolero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Oriente Petrolero below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB match preview
Oriente Petrolero enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 78%, while ABB has a significantly lower chance at 8%. The expected goals for Oriente Petrolero stand at 3.06, suggesting a dominant offensive performance, with a 77% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. Recent form shows Oriente Petrolero with two wins in their last three matches, contrasting with ABB's struggles, having lost four of their last six.
In their last three encounters, Oriente Petrolero has not secured a win, recording one draw and two losses against ABB. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 3-0 in favor of Oriente Petrolero, with a 60% chance that both teams will score. Despite the confidence grade being C, the model indicates a clear advantage for Oriente Petrolero in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oriente Petrolero and ABB expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.04
Oriente Petrolero and ABB attack and defence ratings
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 67.1% | 1.49 | +14.8% | 1.47 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 67.1% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| ABB | 14.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 60.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 21.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 8.5% |
| 2-0 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB stats
Oriente Petrolero and ABB recent form
| Oriente Petrolero |
WLLDWW |
| ABB |
LLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oriente Petrolero and ABB season so far
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 8 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
ABB record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-11 | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Oriente Petrolero | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.4%, draw 20.3%, away 16.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 4.50 | 5.73 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.50 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.00 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.45 | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .