Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 21
Oriente Petrolero
vs
ABB
1 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego | ||
| 32′ | Alejandro Bejarano | ||
| 45′ | Matias Aponte ParadaNabil Nacif Joffre | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Enrique Saucedo CéspedesLeonardo Vaca | ||
| 45′ | Fabricio Perez GuzmanJoffre·Escobar | ||
| 63′ | Layonel FigueroaJ. Briceno | ||
| 70′ | Julio·HerreraJuvenal Rojas Caraballo | ||
| 70′ | D. RodriguezDico Roca | ||
| 72′ | Gary Rea MendietaE. Paniagua | ||
| 77′ | Juan Sebastian Reyes | ||
| 87′ | Adriel GuillermoJairo Diego Rojas Montaño | ||
| 87′ | Alejandro BejaranoFabio Zamora | ||
| 90′ | Leonardo Vaca | ||
| 90′ | Joffre·Escobar | ||
| 90′ | E. Paniagua |
Oriente Petrolero
72%
Draw
16%
ABB
11%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 421 | Accurate passes | 168 |
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oriente Petrolero vs ABB
| Probability | Oriente Petrolero | Draw | ABB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.3% | 13.6% | 8.1% |
| Market | 70.5% | 17.4% | 12.2% |
| Final | 72.4% | 16.4% | 11.2% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
Why Oriente Petrolero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.06 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
92%
3+ goals
77%
No goals
2%
Oriente Petrolero and ABB expected goals
Oriente Petrolero
3.06
ABB
0.98
Total expected goals: 4.04
Oriente Petrolero and ABB attack and defence ratings
Oriente Petrolero
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
0.86 -14%
ABB
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB: result vs prediction
Oriente Petrolero 1 – 0 ABB
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 72.4% | 1.38 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 72.4% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| ABB | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.9% |
| No | 40.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 60.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 21.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 8.4% |
| 2-0 | 8.3% | |
| 3-1 | 8.2% |
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB stats
Oriente Petrolero and ABB recent form
| Oriente Petrolero |
WLLDWW |
| ABB |
LLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oriente Petrolero and ABB going into this match
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 9 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
ABB record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Oriente Petrolero wins
1Draws
2ABB wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-12-11 | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Oriente Petrolero | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Oriente Petrolero vs ABB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.5%, draw 17.4%, away 12.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 5.25 | 7.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 5.00 | 7.70 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 6.00 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.30 | 5.80 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 5.25 | 7.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.27 | 7.17 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.29 ▼ -0.13
X
5.25 ▲ +0.75
2
7.50 ▲ +1.83
10 snapshots recorded, from .