Bolivia Primera División · 2026-10-16T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Apertura - 22

ABB vs Real Potosí

0 – 1 Full time

10′			Imanol Cárdenas
16′			Denilson Valda
45′			Layonel Figueroa
45′			Jean RiascosJ. Briceno
45′			Gary Rea MendietaB. Espinoza
47′			Gary Rea Mendieta
51′			Williams Wallas Fernandez Von BoeckEdgar Daniel Cuellar Montero
64′			Juan Felipe Fajardo GallegoR. Perozo
65′			Luis AlíJeferson Rivas Tirado
65′			Imanol CárdenasJ. Thomas
71′			Alejandro Bejarano
73′			Adriel GuillermoJairo Diego Rojas Montaño
81′			Hugo RojasRenan Wilder Terrazas Soliz
81′			Lucas Cristian GiménezIgor Soares
90′			Omar Preciado
90′			Augusto Seimandi
90′			Igor Soares

ABB

35%

Draw

27%

Real Potosí

37%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

8	Shots	16
4	Shots on target	2
52	Possession %	48
4	Corners	5
9	Fouls	10
3	Offsides	1
1	Saves	4
360	Accurate passes	340

ABB vs Real Potosí overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ABB vs Real Potosí

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	ABB	Draw	Real Potosí
Model	20.7%	30.7%	48.6%
Market	40.3%	26.4%	33.3%
Final	35.4%	27.5%	37.1%
Edge	-4.9%	+1.1%	+3.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Real Potosí

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.79.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices Real Potosí below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

87%

2+ goals

64%

3+ goals

36%

No goals

13%

ABB and Real Potosí expected goals

ABB

0.79

Real Potosí

1.34

Total expected goals: 2.13

ABB and Real Potosí attack and defence ratings

ABB

Attack

0.78 -22%

Defence

1.21 +21%

Real Potosí

Attack

0.85 -15%

Defence

0.48 -52%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ABB vs Real Potosí: result vs prediction

ABB 0 – 1 Real Potosí

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 22 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ · 2026-10-17
Real Oruro v Aurora — match page · 2026-10-17
Universitario de Vinto vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats · 2026-10-17
Blooming vs Independiente Petrolero · 2026-10-17
Nacional Potosí v Bolívar — match page · 2026-10-18
The Strongest vs Always Ready — team news & stats · 2026-10-18
Guabirá vs Oriente Petrolero · 2026-10-18

Before and after this match

ABB, previous: Oriente Petrolero vs ABB prediction
ABB, next: Independiente Petrolero vs ABB prediction
Real Potosí, previous: Real Potosí – The Strongest, 2026-10-11
Real Potosí, next: San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs Real Potosí: odds and pick

ABB vs Real Potosí markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Real Potosí	37.1%	2.69	+3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	64.2%	1.56	—	—
Both teams to score	No	58.5%	1.71	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.4%	1.94	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	ABB	35.4%
	Draw	27.5%
	Real Potosí	37.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	35.8%
	Under 2.5	64.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	41.5%
	No	58.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.9%
	12 (either side)	72.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.6%
Handicap -1	Real Potosí win	23.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	24.8%
	Loss	51.4%
Correct score (top 3)	0-1	14.7%
	1-1	13.8%
	0-0	13.2%

ABB vs Real Potosí stats

ABB and Real Potosí recent form

newest first

ABB	LLLWLD
Real Potosí	WWWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ABB and Real Potosí going into this match

league record before kick-off

ABB record

They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Real Potosí record

They have won 9 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 10 clean sheets in 21 matches.
They have failed to score in 6 of 21 matches.
They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

ABB vs Real Potosí head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0ABB wins 0Draws 3Real Potosí wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-09-29	Real Potosí	ABB	Copa de la División Profesional	3-1
2026-08-19	ABB	Real Potosí	Copa de la División Profesional	2-3
2026-07-09	Real Potosí	ABB	Bolivia Primera División	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ABB vs Real Potosí odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 25.4%, away 33.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.22	3.40	2.76
Bet365	2.35	3.70	2.70
Betano	2.20	3.55	2.85
Betfair	2.20	3.60	2.63
Dafabet	2.11	3.75	3.05
Marathonbet	2.20	3.40	2.70
Pinnacle	2.23	3.58	2.66
William Hill	2.30	3.30	2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.23 ▼ -0.26

X 3.40 ▼ -0.10

2 2.70 ▲ +0.25

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-13T08:10:02Z.