Independiente Petrolero
vs
ABB
Garuda Lions Prediction: Independiente Petrolero
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.98.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Independiente Petrolero vs ABB
| Probability | Independiente Petrolero | Draw | ABB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.2% | 28.0% | 22.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.2% | 28.0% | 22.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Independiente Petrolero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.98.
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB match preview
Independiente Petrolero faces ABB in the Bolivia Primera División, with the model indicating a 49% probability of a home win for Independiente Petrolero, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 23% likelihood of an away victory for ABB. The expected goals suggest Independiente Petrolero is favored with 1.54 compared to ABB's 0.98. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at an 11% probability.
Recent form shows Independiente Petrolero with a record of D-L-L-L-L-W, while ABB has struggled with L-L-L-L-W-L. In their last three encounters, Independiente Petrolero has secured 2 wins, while ABB has 1 victory. The model indicates a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Independiente Petrolero and ABB expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Independiente Petrolero and ABB attack and defence ratings
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independiente Petrolero | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Independiente Petrolero | 49.2% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| ABB | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Independiente Petrolero win | 26.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB stats
Independiente Petrolero and ABB recent form
| Independiente Petrolero |
DLLLLW |
| ABB |
LLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Independiente Petrolero and ABB season so far
Independiente Petrolero record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
ABB record
- They have won 6 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Independiente Petrolero vs ABB head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | ABB | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Independiente Petrolero | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-29 | ABB | Independiente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.