Oriente Petrolero
vs
The Strongest
Garuda Lions Prediction: Oriente Petrolero
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.14.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest
| Probability | Oriente Petrolero | Draw | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.1% | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.1% | 26.3% | 24.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Oriente Petrolero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.14.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest match preview
Oriente Petrolero enters this match with a probability of 49% to win, while The Strongest stands at 25%. Recent form shows Oriente Petrolero with a mixed record of D-W-W-L-L-D, whereas The Strongest has been in strong form, winning their last six matches. The expected goals for Oriente Petrolero is 1.70, compared to 1.14 for The Strongest, indicating a potential edge in offensive output for the home side.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Oriente Petrolero, with a 10% chance of occurring. Additionally, there is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 57% chance that both teams will score. In their last three encounters, Oriente Petrolero has one win, while The Strongest has two victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.84
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest attack and defence ratings
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 49.1% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| The Strongest | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 50.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest stats
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest recent form
| Oriente Petrolero |
DWWLLD |
| The Strongest |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oriente Petrolero and The Strongest season so far
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
The Strongest record
- They have won 12 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Oriente Petrolero vs The Strongest head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | The Strongest | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-29 | The Strongest | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Oriente Petrolero | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.