Oriente Petrolero
vs
Aurora
Garuda Lions Prediction: Oriente Petrolero
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.83.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
| Probability | Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Aurora |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.3% | 21.7% | 13.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.3% | 21.7% | 13.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Oriente Petrolero
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.83.
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora match preview
Oriente Petrolero enters this match with a 65% probability of winning, while Aurora has a 13% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Oriente Petrolero, with an expected goals tally of 2.08 for them compared to 0.83 for Aurora. Both teams have a 50% likelihood of scoring in the match, and there is a 55% chance that the total goals will exceed 2.5.
In terms of recent form, Oriente Petrolero has recorded a draw, two wins, and two losses in their last six matches, while Aurora has experienced one win, two draws, and three losses in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record from the last three encounters shows one win for Oriente Petrolero, one draw, and one win for Aurora, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Oriente Petrolero and Aurora expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Oriente Petrolero and Aurora attack and defence ratings
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Oriente Petrolero | 65.3% |
| Draw | 21.7% | |
| Aurora | 13.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Oriente Petrolero win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora stats
Oriente Petrolero and Aurora recent form
| Oriente Petrolero |
DWWLLD |
| Aurora |
LDLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Oriente Petrolero and Aurora season so far
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 10 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Aurora record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Aurora | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-04 | Oriente Petrolero | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Aurora | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.