Real Oruro
vs
Nacional Potosí
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Oruro
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí
| Probability | Real Oruro | Draw | Nacional Potosí |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 25.9% | 36.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.9% | 25.9% | 36.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real Oruro
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí match preview
Real Oruro and Nacional Potosí are set to clash in the Bolivia Primera División on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Real Oruro holds a 44% probability of winning, while Nacional Potosí has a 30% chance, and a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for Real Oruro are 1.66, compared to 1.35 for Nacional Potosí. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Real Oruro, occurring at a rate of 9%.
In terms of recent form, Real Oruro has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Nacional Potosí has managed one win, one draw, and three losses. The head-to-head record shows Real Oruro with two wins and Nacional Potosí with one in their last three encounters. Additionally, there is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Oruro and Nacional Potosí expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Real Oruro and Nacional Potosí attack and defence ratings
Real Oruro
Nacional Potosí
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oruro | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Oruro | 37.9% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Nacional Potosí | 36.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.6% |
| No | 36.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Oruro win | 19.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 62.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí stats
Real Oruro and Nacional Potosí recent form
| Real Oruro |
LWWLLW |
| Nacional Potosí |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Oruro and Nacional Potosí season so far
Real Oruro record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Nacional Potosí record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Real Oruro vs Nacional Potosí head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Nacional Potosí | Real Oruro | Bolivia Primera División | 1-4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Real Oruro | Nacional Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-07-14 | Nacional Potosí | Real Oruro | Bolivia Primera División | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.