Guabirá
vs
Bolívar
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bolívar
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.29.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Guabirá vs Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guabirá vs Bolívar
| Probability | Guabirá | Draw | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.1% | 24.4% | 50.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.1% | 24.4% | 50.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bolívar
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.29.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Guabirá vs Bolívar match preview
Guabirá faces Bolívar in the Bolivia Primera División, with the model indicating a 25% chance of a Guabirá win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 51% chance for Bolívar to secure victory. The expected goals are 1.29 for Guabirá and 1.90 for Bolívar, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.
Recent form shows Guabirá struggling with two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Bolívar is in excellent form, winning all six of their recent games. The model also indicates a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance that both teams will score, reflecting an expectation of an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guabirá and Bolívar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.19
Guabirá and Bolívar attack and defence ratings
Guabirá
Bolívar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guabirá vs Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bolívar | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 25.1% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Bolívar | 50.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bolívar win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.4% |
Guabirá vs Bolívar stats
Guabirá and Bolívar recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guabirá and Bolívar season so far
Guabirá record
- They have won 8 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bolívar record
- They have won 16 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guabirá vs Bolívar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Bolívar | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Bolívar | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Guabirá | Bolívar | Bolivia Primera División | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.