Bolivia Primera División · ·Apertura - 25

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Garuda Lions Prediction: Guabirá

2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.25.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Guabirá is the favourite, not a value bet.

Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera, Santa Cruz de la Sierra

Guabirá 56%
Draw 22%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Guabirá wins
56%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGuabiráDrawSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
Model45.7%26.4%27.8%
Market59.9%20.8%19.3%
Final56.3%22.2%21.4%
Edge-3.5%+1.4%+2.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Guabirá

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.25.

Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.7% per unit staked (our 56.3% × 1.55 − 1).

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo match preview

Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo are set to clash in the Bolivia Primera División, with Guabirá holding a 47% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Guabirá stand at 1.71, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo is projected to score 1.24. The most likely scoreline from our analysis is 2-1 in favor of Guabirá, with a 9% likelihood.

Recent form shows Guabirá with a record of L-D-L-W-L-D, while San Antonio Bulo Bulo has a slightly better run of W-W-L-D-W-L. Both teams have a 59% chance of scoring, and there is a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. The head-to-head record in their last three encounters shows each team with one win and one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Guabirá ↓ / San Antonio Bu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo expected goals

Guabirá 1.66
San Antonio Bulo Bulo 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.91

Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo attack and defence ratings

Guabirá

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.20 +20%

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 25 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Guabirá 56.3% 1.77 -3.5% 1.55
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.6% 1.80 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Guabirá56.3%
Draw22.2%
San Antonio Bulo Bulo21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.9%
No41.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)77.8%
X2 (draw or away)43.7%
Handicap -1Guabirá win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss54.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
2-19.4%
1-07.9%

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo stats

Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Guabirá and San Antonio Bulo Bulo season so far

league record

Guabirá record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Antonio Bulo Bulo record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Guabirá wins 3Draws 4San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-21GuabiráSan Antonio Bulo BuloCopa de la División Profesional2-1
2026-08-31San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabiráCopa de la División Profesional5-1
2026-05-29San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabiráBolivia Primera División1-2
2026-02-07San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabiráTorneo Amistoso de Verano0-0
2026-01-31GuabiráSan Antonio Bulo BuloTorneo Amistoso de Verano2-2
2025-11-23GuabiráSan Antonio Bulo BuloBolivia Primera División1-2
2025-06-14San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabiráBolivia Primera División1-1
2024-09-25GuabiráSan Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División1-2
2024-05-11San Antonio Bulo BuloGuabiráPrimera División3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Guabirá vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.9%, draw 20.8%, away 19.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.49 4.40 4.82
Bet365 1.55 4.33 4.75
BetVictor 1.53 4.40 4.75
Betano 1.55 4.30 4.70
Dafabet 1.54 4.50 5.00
Marathonbet 1.48 4.40 4.65
William Hill 1.50 4.00 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.53 ▼ -0.01
X 4.40 ▲ +0.03
2 4.75 ▲ +0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Guabirá Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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