Blooming
vs
Oriente Petrolero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Blooming
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Blooming is the favourite, not a value bet.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero
| Probability | Blooming | Draw | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 31.3% | 27.8% |
| Market | 39.4% | 27.1% | 33.5% |
| Final | 39.8% | 28.1% | 32.1% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +1.1% | -1.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (our 39.8% × 2.40 − 1).
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero match preview
Blooming faces Oriente Petrolero in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a slight edge for Blooming at 39%, with a draw at 32% and Oriente Petrolero at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 12% chance. Expected goals are estimated at 1.17 for Blooming and 0.98 for Oriente Petrolero, indicating a closely contested encounter.
In terms of recent form, Blooming has recorded results of L-D-L-D-W-L, while Oriente Petrolero has a more favorable record with D-W-D-W-W-L. The head-to-head statistics show Blooming winning 2 of the last 3 encounters, while Oriente Petrolero has 1 win. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero attack and defence ratings
Blooming
Oriente Petrolero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 25 fixtures
- Independiente Petrolero v Real Tomayapo — match page
- Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Real Oruro — team news & stats
- Always Ready vs ABB
- Guabirá v San Antonio Bulo Bulo — match page
- Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí — team news & stats
- Bolívar vs The Strongest
- Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blooming | 39.8% | 2.51 | +0.4% | 2.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blooming | 39.8% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Oriente Petrolero | 32.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.6% |
| No | 54.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Blooming win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | |
| 1-0 | 12.2% |
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero stats
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero recent form
| Blooming |
WLDLDW |
| Oriente Petrolero |
DWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blooming and Oriente Petrolero season so far
Blooming record
- They have won 6 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 0 of 3 penalties (0%).
Oriente Petrolero record
- They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Oriente Petrolero | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Oriente Petrolero | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-06-22 | Blooming | Oriente Petrolero | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 27.1%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.29 | 3.28 | 2.65 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.28 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .