Nacional Potosí
vs
Real Potosí
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nacional Potosí
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Nacional Potosí is the favourite, not a value bet.
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí
| Probability | Nacional Potosí | Draw | Real Potosí |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 34.0% | 25.6% |
| Market | 48.2% | 25.7% | 26.1% |
| Final | 46.3% | 27.8% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -2.0% | +2.1% | -0.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.6% per unit staked (our 46.3% × 1.91 − 1).
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí match preview
Nacional Potosí and Real Potosí are set to clash in the Bolivia Primera División, with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, Nacional Potosí holds a 40% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 34% and Real Potosí at 26%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Nacional Potosí, with an expected goals tally of 1.09 for Nacional Potosí and 0.81 for Real Potosí.
In terms of recent form, Nacional Potosí has recorded a mixed performance with one win in their last six matches (D-W-L-D-L-W), while Real Potosí has been more consistent, winning four of their last six games (D-L-W-W-W-W). The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at 30%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 38%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nacional Potosí and Real Potosí expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Nacional Potosí and Real Potosí attack and defence ratings
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nacional Potosí | 46.3% | 2.16 | -2.0% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nacional Potosí | 46.3% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Real Potosí | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.2% |
| No | 61.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nacional Potosí win | 17.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí stats
Nacional Potosí and Real Potosí recent form
| Nacional Potosí |
DWLDLW |
| Real Potosí |
DLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nacional Potosí and Real Potosí season so far
Nacional Potosí record
- They have won 9 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Real Potosí record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Real Potosí | Nacional Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nacional Potosí vs Real Potosí odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.2%, draw 25.7%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.52 | 3.56 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.89 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.52 | 3.48 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .