Real Potosí
vs
Independiente Petrolero
Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Potosí
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.38.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero
| Probability | Real Potosí | Draw | Independiente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.7% | 22.0% | 6.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 71.7% | 22.0% | 6.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Real Potosí
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.38.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero match preview
Real Potosí enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 72%, reflecting their recent form of four wins and a draw in their last six matches. The team's expected goals stand at 1.80, indicating a solid offensive capability, while Independiente Petrolero has struggled recently, with a record of one win in their last six games and an expected goals figure of just 0.38.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Real Potosí, which has a 20% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams to score has a lower probability at 27%. In their last head-to-head encounter, Real Potosí secured a victory, further emphasizing their advantage going into this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Real Potosí and Independiente Petrolero expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Real Potosí and Independiente Petrolero attack and defence ratings
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Potosí | 71.7% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Independiente Petrolero | 6.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.2% |
| No | 72.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Real Potosí win | 44.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 28.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.5% |
| 2-0 | 18.3% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero stats
Real Potosí and Independiente Petrolero recent form
| Real Potosí |
WWWWDL |
| Independiente Petrolero |
DLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Real Potosí and Independiente Petrolero season so far
Real Potosí record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Independiente Petrolero record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Real Potosí vs Independiente Petrolero head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Independiente Petrolero | Real Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.