The Strongest
vs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Garuda Lions Prediction: The Strongest
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ overview
Garuda Lions analysis: The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
| Probability | The Strongest | Draw | Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.6% | 18.3% | 11.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 70.6% | 18.3% | 11.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why The Strongest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ match preview
The Strongest enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 71%, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ has an 11% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood. The Strongest's expected goals stand at 2.44, significantly higher than Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 0.90, indicating a potential disparity in offensive output.
In terms of recent form, The Strongest has recorded three wins in their last six matches, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ has struggled with just one win in their last six outings. The head-to-head record favors The Strongest, who have won two of the last three encounters, with one draw. The model also suggests a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.34
The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack and defence ratings
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The Strongest | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | The Strongest win | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The Strongest | 70.6% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 11.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | The Strongest win | 49.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 29.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 3-0 | 8.6% |
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ stats
The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recent form
| The Strongest |
LWLWWW |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
The Strongest and Gualberto Villarroel SJ season so far
The Strongest record
- They have won 13 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | The Strongest | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.