Nacional Potosí
vs
Guabirá
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nacional Potosí
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá
| Probability | Nacional Potosí | Draw | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.9% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.9% | 22.8% | 18.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nacional Potosí
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá match preview
Nacional Potosí enters this match with a 59% probability of winning against Guabirá, who has an 18% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Nacional Potosí, with an expected goals tally of 2.06 for Nacional Potosí compared to 1.08 for Guabirá. Additionally, there is a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 59% chance that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Nacional Potosí has recorded a mixed bag of results with one win in their last six matches, while Guabirá has struggled, managing only one win in their last six games as well. The head-to-head record shows Nacional Potosí with one win and Guabirá with two wins in their last three encounters, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nacional Potosí and Guabirá expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Nacional Potosí and Guabirá attack and defence ratings
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nacional Potosí | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nacional Potosí | 58.9% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Guabirá | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nacional Potosí win | 36.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá stats
Nacional Potosí and Guabirá recent form
| Nacional Potosí |
LDLWWL |
| Guabirá |
DLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nacional Potosí and Guabirá season so far
Nacional Potosí record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 21 matches.
Guabirá record
- They have won 8 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nacional Potosí vs Guabirá head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Guabirá | Nacional Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Guabirá | Nacional Potosí | Bolivia Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-14 | Nacional Potosí | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.