Aurora
vs
Real Tomayapo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aurora
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.71.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Aurora vs Real Tomayapo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aurora vs Real Tomayapo
| Probability | Aurora | Draw | Real Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.5% | 28.8% | 16.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.5% | 28.8% | 16.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aurora
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.71.
Aurora vs Real Tomayapo match preview
Aurora is set to face Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia Primera División, with the match kicking off on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Aurora has a 54% probability of winning, while a draw is at 29% and Real Tomayapo at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Aurora, with a 15% likelihood. Expected goals suggest Aurora will score 1.48, compared to Real Tomayapo's 0.71.
In terms of recent form, Aurora has recorded a mixed bag of results with a record of L-D-L-W-W-D, while Real Tomayapo has shown slightly better form with W-D-L-L-L-W. The last three head-to-head encounters have seen Aurora win once, with one draw and one win for Real Tomayapo. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aurora and Real Tomayapo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Aurora and Real Tomayapo attack and defence ratings
Aurora
Real Tomayapo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aurora vs Real Tomayapo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 54.5% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Real Tomayapo | 16.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aurora win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Aurora vs Real Tomayapo stats
Aurora and Real Tomayapo recent form
| Aurora |
LDLWWD |
| Real Tomayapo |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aurora and Real Tomayapo season so far
Aurora record
- They have won 7 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Real Tomayapo record
- They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Aurora vs Real Tomayapo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Real Tomayapo | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-19 | Aurora | Real Tomayapo | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-04 | Real Tomayapo | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.