Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 22

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

1 – 0 Full time

20′José Vargas
45′Matheus Moresche
45′D. Robles
45′Alexis RiberaLisandro Sebastián Montenegro
47′Artur William Costa
52′Matheus MorescheLuis Zeballos
64′Luis·Cardenas
67′Vladimir Antonio Gálvez LazcanoBernabé David Aguirre Aramayo
67′Ramiro EguezJavier Guerra
68′Cristhian ArabeRicardo Suárez Antelo
70′Elmer José Quispe Fríassebastian valdez
78′Ruan·Costa de FreitasJorge Orozco
87′G. VacaSantiago Pinto Soliz
87′Luis Raul Cruz ValverdeRodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero
90′Fernando Aguilar Dorado

Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija

Real Tomayapo 48%
Draw 26%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 2
47 Possession % 53
3 Corners 3
14 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 4
267 Accurate passes 251

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal TomayapoDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
Model41.5%29.7%28.8%
Market50.0%25.3%24.7%
Final47.9%26.4%25.7%
Edge-2.1%+1.1%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Tomayapo ↓ / Gualberto Vill → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 10% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected goals

Real Tomayapo 1.35
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.44

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack and defence ratings

Real Tomayapo

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: result vs prediction

Real Tomayapo 1 – 0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 22 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Tomayapo 47.9% 2.09 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.4% 1.98 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Tomayapo47.9%
Draw26.4%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ25.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.1%
Under 2.555.9%
Both teams to scoreYes50.4%
No49.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)52.1%
Handicap -1Real Tomayapo win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-010.5%
0-010.0%

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ stats

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Tomayapo record

  • They have won 4 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Gualberto Villarroel SJ record

  • They have won 3 of their 21 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 21 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 21 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Real Tomayapo wins 0Draws 3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-07Gualberto Villarroel SJReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División3-2
2025-08-03Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJBolivia Primera División2-1
2025-03-30Gualberto Villarroel SJReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División3-1
2024-09-24Gualberto Villarroel SJReal TomayapoPrimera División5-0
2024-05-11Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJPrimera División2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.1%, draw 25.0%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.56 3.62
Bet365 1.73 3.80 4.00
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.00
Betano 1.87 3.65 3.55
Betfair 1.75 3.75 3.75
Dafabet 1.84 3.80 3.65
Marathonbet 1.80 3.56 3.54
Pinnacle 1.85 3.58 3.48
William Hill 1.83 3.40 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▼ -0.03
X 3.57 ▼ -0.11
2 3.66 ▲ +0.14

8 snapshots recorded, from .