Bolivia Primera División · ·Apertura - 22

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Garuda Lions Prediction: Real Tomayapo

1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability

Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija

Real Tomayapo 49%
Draw 29%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Real Tomayapo wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal TomayapoDrawGualberto Villarroel SJ
Model48.9%29.3%21.8%
Market———
Final48.9%29.3%21.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Real Tomayapo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ match preview

Real Tomayapo is set to face Gualberto Villarroel SJ in their upcoming match, with a probability of 49% for a home win, while a draw stands at 29% and an away victory at 22%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.44 for Real Tomayapo and 0.88 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

Recent form shows Real Tomayapo with mixed results, recording two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ has struggled, with five losses and one draw in the same timeframe. In their last three encounters, Real Tomayapo has won once, while Gualberto Villarroel SJ has secured two victories. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Tomayapo ↓ / Gualberto Vill → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected goals

Real Tomayapo 1.44
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.32

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack and defence ratings

Real Tomayapo

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Gualberto Villarroel SJ

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Apertura - 22 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Tomayapo 48.9% 2.04 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.1% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Tomayapo48.9%
Draw29.3%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.9%
Under 2.559.1%
Both teams to scoreYes45.9%
No54.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Real Tomayapo win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss51.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-012.9%
0-011.1%

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ stats

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Tomayapo and Gualberto Villarroel SJ season so far

league record

Real Tomayapo record

  • They have won 4 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 20 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Gualberto Villarroel SJ record

  • They have won 2 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Real Tomayapo wins 0Draws 2Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-07Gualberto Villarroel SJReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División3-2
2025-08-03Real TomayapoGualberto Villarroel SJBolivia Primera División2-1
2025-03-30Gualberto Villarroel SJReal TomayapoBolivia Primera División3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Tomayapo vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Real Tomayapo Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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