Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 21
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
vs
Guabirá
4 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Gustavo Peredo | ||
| 10′ | Alex Caceres | ||
| 42′ | Alex Caceres | ||
| 45′ | Alex Caceres | ||
| 45′ | Matheus Moresche | ||
| 45′ | rafael corralesJuan Carlos Parada | ||
| 45′ | Thiago ChavezYuto Edward Baigorria Nishizawa | ||
| 53′ | Alex Caceres | ||
| 63′ | N. MasskooniP. Luján | ||
| 65′ | Elmer José Quispe Frías | ||
| 66′ | Ronaldo MonteiroDaniel Moisés Calero Salazar | ||
| 68′ | RafinhaDenilso Fernandez Tokudome | ||
| 73′ | Juan Carlos Parada | ||
| 76′ | Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar | ||
| 79′ | Gustavo PeredoMakerlo Tellez | ||
| 80′ | Elmer José Quispe Fríassebastian valdez | ||
| 81′ | G. VacaRodrigo Asur Orihuela Rivero | ||
| 86′ | Matheus MorescheRoler Ferrufino | ||
| 86′ | Alex CaceresLuis Zeballos | ||
| 88′ | Daniel Moisés Calero Salazar | ||
| 89′ | Makerlo Tellez | ||
| 90′ | sebastian valdez |
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
49%
Draw
24%
Guabirá
27%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 8 |
| 259 | Accurate passes | 413 |
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá
| Probability | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Draw | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 25.7% | 37.4% |
| Market | 52.9% | 23.9% | 23.2% |
| Final | 48.9% | 24.3% | 26.8% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +0.5% | +3.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá expected goals
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.57
Guabirá
1.59
Total expected goals: 3.16
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá attack and defence ratings
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Guabirá
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá: result vs prediction
Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4 – 1 Guabirá
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 48.9% | 2.04 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 48.9% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| Guabirá | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.1% |
| No | 35.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá stats
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá recent form
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
LLLDDL |
| Guabirá |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá going into this match
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 2 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Guabirá record
- They have won 8 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
0Draws
3Guabirá wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Guabirá | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Guabirá | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2024-11-17 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Guabirá | Primera División | 5-0 |
| 2024-07-28 | Guabirá | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 23.9%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.70 | 3.76 | 3.96 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.65 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.76 | 3.88 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.79 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.71 ▼ -0.38
X
3.79 ▲ +0.11
2
3.90 ▲ +1.09
14 snapshots recorded, from .