Gualberto Villarroel SJ
vs
Guabirá
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá
| Probability | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Draw | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.9% | 25.8% | 37.3% |
| Market | 52.1% | 24.0% | 24.0% |
| Final | 48.3% | 24.4% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -15.1% | +1.8% | +13.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.77, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá match preview
Gualberto Villarroel SJ faces Guabirá in a matchup where the home side has a 42% probability of winning, while Guabirá stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Gualberto Villarroel SJ, with an 8% chance. Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, with a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance that both teams will score.
Recent form indicates that Gualberto Villarroel SJ has struggled, recording three losses and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Guabirá has been more consistent, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent games. The expected goals for both teams are closely matched, with Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 1.57 and Guabirá at 1.58, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá attack and defence ratings
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Guabirá
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 48.3% | 2.07 | -15.1% | 1.77 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 48.3% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Guabirá | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 63.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.3% |
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá stats
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá recent form
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
LLLDDL |
| Guabirá |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Guabirá season so far
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 2 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Guabirá record
- They have won 7 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Guabirá | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Guabirá | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabirá odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 24.0%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.90 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .