Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 21
Universitario de Vinto
vs
Real Oruro
1 – 3 Full time
| 1′ | A. Bravo | ||
| 4′ | A. Bravo | ||
| 17′ | Joel Calicho | ||
| 17′ | Reymar José Balceras Cuellar | ||
| 22′ | J. Careaga | ||
| 33′ | Brayan·CalderonDidi Torrico | ||
| 39′ | E. Rivera | ||
| 42′ | Reymar José Balceras CuellarSantos García Cuéllar | ||
| 50′ | Didi Torrico | ||
| 56′ | Guilder CuellarRodrigo Andrés Llano Montes | ||
| 56′ | H. RodríguezOswaldo Blanco | ||
| 62′ | Jhámil Rodrigo Ari CruzJuan Montenegro | ||
| 62′ | E. RiveraD. Castellón | ||
| 65′ | Juan Montenegro | ||
| 68′ | Felipe Pasadore | ||
| 69′ | M. Gómez | ||
| 70′ | Hernán TifnerJuan Pablo Gómez Perez | ||
| 70′ | A. BravoYerco·Vallejos | ||
| 75′ | Yerco·Vallejos | ||
| 76′ | Felipe PasadoreAndrés Veizaga | ||
| 76′ | Richard DorregoDiego Jahdiel Saavedra Rocha | ||
| 79′ | Oswaldo Blanco |
Universitario de Vinto
61%
Draw
21%
Real Oruro
18%
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 20 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 243 | Accurate passes | 162 |
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro
| Probability | Universitario de Vinto | Draw | Real Oruro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| Market | 61.6% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| Final | 61.4% | 20.8% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% |
Why Universitario de Vinto
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.25 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
86%
3+ goals
66%
No goals
4%
Universitario de Vinto and Real Oruro expected goals
Universitario de Vinto
2.25
Real Oruro
1.18
Total expected goals: 3.42
Universitario de Vinto and Real Oruro attack and defence ratings
Universitario de Vinto
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Real Oruro
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
1.35 +35%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro: result vs prediction
Universitario de Vinto 1 – 3 Real Oruro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 61.4% | 1.63 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universitario de Vinto | 61.4% |
| Draw | 20.8% | |
| Real Oruro | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universitario de Vinto win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro stats
Universitario de Vinto and Real Oruro recent form
| Universitario de Vinto |
DWLWLL |
| Real Oruro |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universitario de Vinto and Real Oruro going into this match
Universitario de Vinto record
- They have won 5 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Real Oruro record
- They have won 6 of their 20 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 20 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Universitario de Vinto wins
2Draws
5Real Oruro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Real Oruro | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Universitario de Vinto | Real Oruro | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Real Oruro | Universitario de Vinto | Friendlies Clubs | 4-3 |
| 2025-10-29 | Real Oruro | Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Universitario de Vinto | Real Oruro | Copa de la División Profesional | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Universitario de Vinto | Real Oruro | Bolivia Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-05 | Real Oruro | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.6%, draw 20.6%, away 17.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 4.33 | 5.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.35 | 4.90 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.47 | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.44 | 5.03 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.47 ▼ -0.22
X
4.39 ▲ +0.44
2
5.09 ▲ +1.17
10 snapshots recorded, from .