Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 20

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto

1 – 1 Full time

40′M. Enoumba
42′B. Poveda
45′G. Cuellar
45′J. Calicho
55′R. Spenhay
63′P. LozaR. Hinojosa
63′R. SpenhayM. Villarroel
63′G. CuasaceM. Villarroel
67′D. TorricoD. Vargas
73′J. CalichoF. Pasadore
77′D. Vargas
79′F. Pasadore
80′D. DuranC. Menacho
80′J. GonzalesM. Ocampo
81′M. Villarroel
83′M. GomezB. Calderon
83′H. DorregoD. Saavedra
87′O. Blanco
87′C. Menacho
90′Jose Pinto
90′R. Hinojosa
90′B. Poveda

Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa CruzReferee: A. Flores

Blooming 68%
Draw 20%
Universitario de Vinto 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

23 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
70 Possession % 30
7 Corners 6
5 Fouls 24
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
385 Accurate passes 126

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBloomingDrawUniversitario de Vinto
Model68.9%20.0%11.1%
Market67.5%19.5%13.1%
Final67.8%19.6%12.6%
Edge+1.4%+0.5%-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Blooming

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.80.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Blooming ↓ / Universitario → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 10% 2 12% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 8% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Blooming and Universitario de Vinto expected goals

Blooming 2.21
Universitario de Vinto 0.80

Total expected goals: 3.01

Blooming and Universitario de Vinto attack and defence ratings

Blooming

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Universitario de Vinto

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto: result vs prediction

Blooming 1 – 1 Universitario de Vinto

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 20 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Blooming 67.8% 1.47 +1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 50.2% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Blooming win 45.8% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Blooming67.8%
Draw19.6%
Universitario de Vinto12.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.0%
Under 2.542.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.8%
No50.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.4%
12 (either side)80.4%
X2 (draw or away)32.2%
Handicap -1Blooming win45.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss31.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.1%
1-010.0%
2-19.6%

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto stats

Blooming and Universitario de Vinto recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Blooming and Universitario de Vinto going into this match

league record before kick-off

Blooming record

  • They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 19 matches.

Universitario de Vinto record

  • They have won 5 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Blooming wins 2Draws 3Universitario de Vinto wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Universitario de VintoBloomingBolivia Primera División1-1
2025-11-16BloomingUniversitario de VintoCopa de la División Profesional3-1
2025-11-13Universitario de VintoBloomingCopa de la División Profesional0-0
2025-08-24BloomingUniversitario de VintoBolivia Primera División1-0
2025-04-12Universitario de VintoBloomingBolivia Primera División1-2
2024-11-27BloomingUniversitario de VintoPrimera División1-0
2024-08-01Universitario de VintoBloomingPrimera División1-0
2023-10-28Universitario de VintoBloomingCopa de la División Profesional2-1
2023-07-24Universitario de VintoBloomingPrimera División1-0
2023-07-13BloomingUniversitario de VintoCopa de la División Profesional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.5%, draw 19.5%, away 13.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.34 4.55 7.13
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.33 5.00 7.00
Betano 1.39 4.70 6.30
Betfair 1.30 5.00 7.00
Marathonbet 1.33 4.55 6.80
Pinnacle 1.32 4.33 5.50
William Hill 1.40 4.00 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.33 ▼ -0.11
X 4.62 ▲ +0.33
2 6.90 ▲ +1.40

4 snapshots recorded, from .