Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 20
ABB
vs
The Strongest
1 – 2 Full time
| 33′ | Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego | ||
| 45′ | D. Lom | ||
| 45′ | Juan Sebastian Reyes | ||
| 51′ | Martin Chiatti | ||
| 59′ | Jaime Arrascaita | ||
| 65′ | R. Perozo | ||
| 67′ | Andrés Guillermo ToroyaAdriel Guillermo | ||
| 67′ | Z. La FuenteE. Paniagua | ||
| 67′ | Layonel FigueroaJ. Briceno | ||
| 68′ | Jovani WelchKevin Salvatierra | ||
| 68′ | D. LomVictor Cuellar | ||
| 81′ | Fabricio Domenico Quaglio FrancoJ. Cuellar | ||
| 81′ | Adrián EstacioCarlos Roca | ||
| 87′ | Juan Sebastian ReyesGary Rea Mendieta | ||
| 88′ | Gabriel SotomayorLuiz Henrique Pachu Lira | ||
| 90′ | E. Paniagua | ||
| 90′ | Gary Rea Mendieta | ||
| 90′ | Martin Chiatti | ||
| 90′ | Denilson Valda | ||
| 90′ | Luiz Henrique Pachu Lira | ||
| 90′ | Alejandro Bejarano |
ABB
25%
Draw
23%
The Strongest
52%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 288 | Accurate passes | 278 |
ABB vs The Strongest overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ABB vs The Strongest
| Probability | ABB | Draw | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 22.4% | 53.3% |
| Market | 25.2% | 23.3% | 51.5% |
| Final | 25.0% | 23.1% | 51.9% |
| Edge | -1.0% | -0.9% | +1.9% |
Why The Strongest
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
ABB and The Strongest expected goals
ABB
1.42
The Strongest
2.15
Total expected goals: 3.57
ABB and The Strongest attack and defence ratings
ABB
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.29 +29%
The Strongest
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ABB vs The Strongest: result vs prediction
ABB 1 – 2 The Strongest
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Apertura - 20 fixtures
- Real Oruro v Real Potosí — match page
- Guabirá vs Aurora
- Nacional Potosí v Always Ready — match page
- Blooming vs Universitario de Vinto — team news & stats
- Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero
- Bolívar v Gualberto Villarroel SJ — match page
- Independiente Petrolero vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ABB vs The Strongest markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | The Strongest | 51.9% | 1.93 | +1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 25.0% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| The Strongest | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.8% |
| No | 32.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | The Strongest win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 1-3 | 6.6% |
ABB vs The Strongest stats
ABB and The Strongest recent form
| ABB |
LWLDLL |
| The Strongest |
WWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ABB and The Strongest going into this match
ABB record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
The Strongest record
- They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 19 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
ABB vs The Strongest head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0ABB wins
0Draws
3The Strongest wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | The Strongest | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | ABB | The Strongest | Bolivia Primera División | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-26 | The Strongest | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ABB vs The Strongest odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.2%, draw 23.3%, away 51.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.64 | 3.85 | 1.75 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.83 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.95 | 1.78 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 3.56 | 3.85 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 3.56 | 3.94 | 1.75 |
| SBO | 3.26 | 3.48 | 1.81 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.60 ▼ -0.21
X
3.90 ▲ +0.12
2
1.77 ▲ +0.04
2 snapshots recorded, from .