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Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 19

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero

2 – 1 Full time

3′M. Velasco
24′I. Cardenas
30′J. Rojas
44′J. Flores
45′C. Vedia
46′J. FloresJ. Virreira
46′M. VelascoB. Mamani
46′M. GomezB. Condori
60′J. BerdecioJ. Herrera
63′J. ThomasJ. Vargas
63′L. AliV. Castellon
65′D. Rodriguez
69′F. Lopez
74′J. RivasS. Plaza
80′B. MamaniN. Nacif
82′J. Virreira
82′J. Bernal
85′J. HerreraO. Siles
90′J. VargasJ. Alipaz
90′M. Gomez
90′J. Virreira
90′J. Virreira
90′M. Gomez
90′J. Flores
90′O. Siles
90′S. Plaza

Referee: G. Mendoza

Real Potosí 55%
Draw 25%
Oriente Petrolero 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal PotosíDrawOriente Petrolero
Model47.4%29.6%23.0%
Market57.8%23.0%19.1%
Final55.2%24.7%20.1%
Edge-10.4%+6.6%+3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Real Potosí

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Potosí ↓ / Oriente Petrol → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Real Potosí and Oriente Petrolero expected goals

Real Potosí 1.41
Oriente Petrolero 0.91

Total expected goals: 2.32

Real Potosí and Oriente Petrolero attack and defence ratings

Real Potosí

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Oriente Petrolero

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero: result vs prediction

Real Potosí 2 – 1 Oriente Petrolero

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Apertura - 19 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Real Potosí 55.2% 1.81 -10.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.9% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Potosí55.2%
Draw24.7%
Oriente Petrolero20.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.8%
Under 2.559.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.9%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)44.8%
Handicap -1Real Potosí win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-012.6%
0-011.1%

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero stats

Real Potosí and Oriente Petrolero recent form

newest first
Real Potosí DLDDWW
Oriente Petrolero LDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Potosí and Oriente Petrolero going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Potosí record

  • They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 18 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Oriente Petrolero record

  • They have won 8 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 18 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Real Potosí wins 2Draws 7Oriente Petrolero wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíBolivia Primera División2-0
2021-10-19Real PotosíOriente PetroleroPrimera División2-1
2021-05-10Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíPrimera División2-0
2020-12-21Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíPrimera División2-0
2020-03-05Real PotosíOriente PetroleroPrimera División2-2
2019-10-06Real PotosíOriente PetroleroPrimera División0-1
2019-08-16Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíPrimera División2-1
2019-04-03Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíPrimera División2-1
2019-01-27Real PotosíOriente PetroleroPrimera División1-1
2018-12-07Oriente PetroleroReal PotosíPrimera División7-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Potosí vs Oriente Petrolero odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.3%, draw 23.0%, away 19.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 3.95 4.75
1xBet 1.57 3.94 4.80
Bet365 1.62 4.00 4.75
BetVictor 1.60 4.00 4.60
Betano 1.62 4.00 4.45
Betfair 1.55 4.10 4.75
Dafabet 1.62 4.20 4.80
Marathonbet 1.55 3.94 4.75
Pinnacle 1.57 4.03 4.51
Superbet 1.61 4.00 4.55
Unibet 1.82 3.45 3.45
William Hill 1.62 3.70 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▼ -0.03
X 3.94 ▼ -0.06
2 4.75 —

4 snapshots recorded, from .