Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 18
Aurora
vs
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | M. Rangel | ||
| 9′ | M. Rangel | ||
| 14′ | J. Lencinas | ||
| 30′ | Santiago Pinto Soliz | ||
| 40′ | Luis Barboza | ||
| 46′ | S. PintoS. Villarroel | ||
| 46′ | G. VacaS. Galindo | ||
| 46′ | Matheus MorescheR. Orihuela | ||
| 57′ | R. MonteiroR. Ferrufino | ||
| 61′ | Alan Terrazas | ||
| 61′ | L. BarroS. Altamirano | ||
| 62′ | M. RangelH. Mojica | ||
| 62′ | A. AmarillaH. Sanchez | ||
| 62′ | A. TerrazasH. Vaca | ||
| 74′ | C. RiberaJ. Goyeneche | ||
| 80′ | Sebastian Galindo Novillo | ||
| 85′ | R. RamalloA. Pacheco |
Aurora
56%
Draw
24%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
19%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 6 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 8 | Saves | 6 |
| 502 | Accurate passes | 275 |
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
| Probability | Aurora | Draw | Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.2% | 25.9% | 20.9% |
| Market | 57.5% | 23.6% | 18.9% |
| Final | 56.4% | 24.2% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +2.2% | +2.0% |
Why Aurora
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.02.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
7%
Aurora and Gualberto Villarroel SJ expected goals
Aurora
1.74
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.02
Total expected goals: 2.76
Aurora and Gualberto Villarroel SJ attack and defence ratings
Aurora
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ: result vs prediction
Aurora 3 – 0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 56.4% | 1.77 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aurora | 56.4% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aurora win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ stats
Aurora and Gualberto Villarroel SJ recent form
| Aurora |
DDLLDD |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ |
DDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aurora and Gualberto Villarroel SJ going into this match
Aurora record
- They have won 6 of their 18 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 18 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gualberto Villarroel SJ record
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Aurora wins
5Draws
3Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Aurora | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Friendlies Clubs | 2-4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Aurora | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Aurora | Bolivia Primera División | 4-1 |
| 2025-07-09 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Aurora | Copa de la División Profesional | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-25 | Aurora | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Copa de la División Profesional | 2-2 |
| 2025-06-15 | Aurora | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Bolivia Primera División | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-05 | Aurora | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-20 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Aurora | Primera División | 2-2 |
| 2024-07-13 | Aurora | Gualberto Villarroel SJ | Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.1%, draw 22.6%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 3.84 | 4.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.30 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 3.84 | 4.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.92 | 4.70 |
| Superbet | 1.48 | 4.25 | 5.45 |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 4.10 | 4.75 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.58 ▲ +0.09
X
3.84 ▼ -0.34
2
4.80 ▼ -0.50
6 snapshots recorded, from .