Bolivia Primera División
·
Full time
·Apertura - 18
ABB
vs
Universitario de Vinto
2 – 0 Full time
| 27′ | Layonel Figueroa | ||
| 28′ | Joel Calicho | ||
| 42′ | Felipe Pasadore | ||
| 46′ | Andrés GuillermoJairo Rojas | ||
| 53′ | Jairo Rojas | ||
| 61′ | Brayan CalderónOswaldo Blanco | ||
| 67′ | Marco GómezAndrés Llano | ||
| 70′ | Rodderyck PerozoOmar Preciado | ||
| 80′ | Julio LazarteMario Fernández Cuadiay | ||
| 80′ | Felipe PasadoreDiego Jahdiel Saavedra Rocha | ||
| 80′ | Esdras MendozaLucas Suarez | ||
| 87′ | Juan Fajardo | ||
| 88′ | Layonel FigueroaEmanuel Paniagua | ||
| 88′ | Zinedinne La FuenteFabio Zamora | ||
| 90′ | Alejandro Bejarano |
ABB
52%
Draw
24%
Universitario de Vinto
24%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 263 | Accurate passes | 284 |
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ABB vs Universitario de Vinto
| Probability | ABB | Draw | Universitario de Vinto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.6% | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| Market | 48.8% | 25.0% | 26.1% |
| Final | 51.8% | 23.9% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -4.3% | -7.4% |
Why ABB
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.27.
- The market prices ABB below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
ABB and Universitario de Vinto expected goals
ABB
2.35
Universitario de Vinto
1.27
Total expected goals: 3.61
ABB and Universitario de Vinto attack and defence ratings
ABB
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Universitario de Vinto
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.21 +21%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto: result vs prediction
ABB 2 – 0 Universitario de Vinto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 18 fixtures
Before and after this match
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 51.8% | 1.93 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | ABB win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ABB | 51.8% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Universitario de Vinto | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.7% |
| No | 34.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | ABB win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-1 | 8.8% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto stats
ABB and Universitario de Vinto recent form
| ABB |
LDLLWD |
| Universitario de Vinto |
WLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ABB and Universitario de Vinto going into this match
ABB record
- They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universitario de Vinto record
- They have won 4 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 17 matches.
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1ABB wins
1Draws
3Universitario de Vinto wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Universitario de Vinto | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 5-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | ABB | Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Universitario de Vinto | ABB | Copa de la División Profesional | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-25 | ABB | Universitario de Vinto | Bolivia Primera División | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Universitario de Vinto | ABB | Bolivia Primera División | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ABB vs Universitario de Vinto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 25.0%, away 26.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.54 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.70 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.52 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.61 | 3.40 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.18 | 3.02 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.86 ▲ +0.16
X
3.63 ▼ -0.25
2
3.47 ▼ -0.46
4 snapshots recorded, from .