Guabirá
vs
Blooming
1 – 1 Full time
Guabirá vs Blooming overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guabirá vs Blooming
| Probability | Guabirá | Draw | Blooming |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.6% | 23.3% | 11.1% |
| Market | 44.2% | 25.3% | 30.5% |
| Final | 49.5% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Edge | +21.4% | -2.0% | -19.4% |
Why Guabirá
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Guabirá below the model: +21.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guabirá and Blooming expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Guabirá and Blooming attack and defence ratings
Guabirá
Blooming
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guabirá vs Blooming: result vs prediction
Guabirá 1 – 1 Blooming
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Apertura - 16 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guabirá vs Blooming markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 49.5% | 2.02 | +21.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Guabirá win | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guabirá | 49.5% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Blooming | 25.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Guabirá win | 40.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 34.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 2-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Guabirá vs Blooming stats
Guabirá and Blooming recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guabirá and Blooming going into this match
Guabirá record
- They have won 7 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 17 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Blooming record
- They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 17 matches.
Guabirá vs Blooming head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Blooming | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 5-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Guabirá | Blooming | Bolivia Primera División | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-21 | Blooming | Guabirá | Bolivia Primera División | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guabirá vs Blooming odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 25.2%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.64 | 3.03 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.90 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.60 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.13 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.64 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.61 | 2.89 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.28 | 2.80 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .