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Bolivia Primera División · Full time ·Apertura - 16

Real Oruro vs Bolívar

2 – 4 Full time

Referee: M. Lopez

Real Oruro 20%
Draw 19%
Bolívar 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Real Oruro vs Bolívar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Real Oruro vs Bolívar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityReal OruroDrawBolívar
Model37.2%22.5%40.4%
Market14.9%18.2%66.9%
Final20.5%19.3%60.3%
Edge+22.2%+4.3%-26.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Bolívar

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Real Oruro ↓ / Bolívar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 75%
No goals 3%

Real Oruro and Bolívar expected goals

Real Oruro 1.91
Bolívar 1.99

Total expected goals: 3.91

Real Oruro and Bolívar attack and defence ratings

Real Oruro

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Bolívar

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Real Oruro vs Bolívar: result vs prediction

Real Oruro 2 – 4 Bolívar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 16 fixtures

Bolivia Primera División

Before and after this match

Real Oruro vs Bolívar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bolívar 60.3% 1.66 -26.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.8% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.4% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 80.7% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Real Oruro20.5%
Draw19.3%
Bolívar60.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.8%
Under 2.525.2%
Both teams to scoreYes74.4%
No25.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.7%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)79.5%
Handicap -1Bolívar win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.4%
1-27.6%
2-17.3%

Real Oruro vs Bolívar stats

Real Oruro and Bolívar recent form

newest first
Real Oruro LWLLLW
Bolívar LWDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Real Oruro and Bolívar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Real Oruro record

  • They have won 5 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Bolívar record

  • They have won 11 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 17 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Real Oruro vs Bolívar head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Real Oruro wins 0Draws 2Bolívar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03BolívarReal OruroBolivia Primera División5-2
2025-08-02Real OruroBolívarBolivia Primera División3-1
2025-03-29BolívarReal OruroBolivia Primera División3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Real Oruro vs Bolívar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.9%, draw 18.2%, away 66.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.30 5.00 1.35
Bet365 6.25 5.00 1.40
BetVictor 6.50 5.00 1.36
Betano 5.70 5.10 1.40
Betfair 6.50 5.00 1.30
Dafabet 6.20 5.40 1.39
Marathonbet 6.10 5.00 1.34
Pinnacle 5.70 4.98 1.37
SBO 5.61 4.67 1.33
Superbet 5.75 5.00 1.38
William Hill 6.00 4.60 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.10 ▲ +0.60
X 5.00 —
2 1.36 ▼ -0.04

4 snapshots recorded, from .