LDU de Quito
vs
Barcelona SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: LDU de Quito
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC
| Probability | LDU de Quito | Draw | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.3% | 33.1% | 25.7% |
| Market | 56.6% | 25.3% | 18.1% |
| Final | 52.8% | 27.3% | 20.0% |
| Edge | -15.4% | +7.7% | +7.6% |
Why LDU de Quito
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.85.
Best available price on the pick: 1.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC match preview
LDU de Quito hosts Barcelona SC in a Liga Pro clash with LDU holding a 53% probability of winning compared to Barcelona's 20%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 14% chance of occurring. Expected goals indicate LDU de Quito at 1.15 and Barcelona SC at 0.85, suggesting a tighter match favoring the home side.
In terms of recent form, LDU de Quito has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. Barcelona SC's recent performances show two wins, three draws, and one loss. Historically, LDU has dominated their recent encounters, winning four of the last six matchups against Barcelona SC, who have only managed one win.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.00
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC attack and defence ratings
LDU de Quito
Barcelona SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 52.8% | 1.89 | -15.4% | 1.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 52.8% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Barcelona SC | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.4% |
| No | 59.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | LDU de Quito win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.3% |
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC stats
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC recent form
| LDU de Quito |
WLDLWD |
| Barcelona SC |
DDWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
LDU de Quito and Barcelona SC season so far
LDU de Quito record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Barcelona SC record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Barcelona SC | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-04 | LDU de Quito | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Barcelona SC | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-18 | LDU de Quito | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-25 | Barcelona SC | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-06-19 | LDU de Quito | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
LDU de Quito vs Barcelona SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.6%, draw 25.3%, away 18.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.68 | 5.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.70 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.61 | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.52 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 3.78 | 5.29 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.33 | 4.54 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
36 snapshots recorded, from .