Aucas
vs
LDU de Quito
Garuda Lions Prediction: LDU de Quito
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Aucas vs LDU de Quito overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aucas vs LDU de Quito
| Probability | Aucas | Draw | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.1% | 32.8% | 37.0% |
| Market | 27.3% | 29.9% | 42.8% |
| Final | 28.0% | 30.6% | 41.3% |
| Edge | +2.9% | +2.9% | -5.8% |
Why LDU de Quito
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.23, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Aucas vs LDU de Quito match preview
Aucas will face LDU de Quito in a Liga Pro match on October 17, 2026. According to our model, Aucas has a 29% probability of winning, while LDU de Quito stands at 40%, with a 31% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 0-1, occurring with a 12% probability. Both teams are expected to generate similar expected goals, each at 1.04.
In terms of recent form, Aucas has struggled with two losses, followed by three draws and a single win. Conversely, LDU de Quito has shown better performance with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their last six matches. Historically, the last four encounters have seen Aucas secure one win, while LDU de Quito has claimed two victories and one match ended in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aucas and LDU de Quito expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Aucas and LDU de Quito attack and defence ratings
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Championship Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aucas vs LDU de Quito markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 41.3% | 2.42 | -5.8% | 2.23 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 28.0% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| LDU de Quito | 41.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | LDU de Quito win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.6% |
Aucas vs LDU de Quito stats
Aucas and LDU de Quito recent form
| Aucas |
LLDDDW |
| LDU de Quito |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aucas and LDU de Quito season so far
Aucas record
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LDU de Quito record
- They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aucas vs LDU de Quito head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Copa Ecuador | 1-0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Aucas | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-23 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Aucas | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-18 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Aucas | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-13 | Aucas | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-04 | LDU de Quito | Aucas | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aucas vs LDU de Quito odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.6%, draw 29.3%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.43 | 3.08 | 2.21 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.28 | 2.94 | 2.11 |
| Pinnacle | 3.57 | 3.11 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.80 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .