Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Championship Group - 1
LDU de Quito
vs
Universidad Catolica
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | J. Fajardo | ||
| 13′ | L. Segovia | ||
| 46′ | L. SegoviaL. Quinonez | ||
| 46′ | J. RodriguezA. Alvarado | ||
| 46′ | L. RodriguezJ. Pretell | ||
| 50′ | J. Pretell | ||
| 58′ | J. CorozoDeyverson | ||
| 66′ | F. MartinezE. Valencia | ||
| 66′ | M. AlonsoL. Moreno | ||
| 71′ | Deyverson | ||
| 74′ | Y. Quinonez | ||
| 78′ | M. DiazJ. Manriquez | ||
| 78′ | E. MejiaA. Rodriguez | ||
| 78′ | E. ClavijoJ. Cacciabue | ||
| 86′ | Y. Quinonez | ||
| 88′ | Y. QuinonezJ. Carabali | ||
| 90′ | A. Alvarado | ||
| 90′ | M. Weigandt |
LDU de Quito
39%
Draw
28%
Universidad Catolica
32%
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica
| Probability | LDU de Quito | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 30.2% | 42.1% |
| Market | 43.2% | 27.5% | 29.3% |
| Final | 39.3% | 28.2% | 32.5% |
| Edge | -15.6% | +2.7% | +12.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica expected goals
LDU de Quito
1.03
Universidad Catolica
1.32
Total expected goals: 2.35
LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica attack and defence ratings
LDU de Quito
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.91 -9%
Universidad Catolica
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
0.81 -19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica: result vs prediction
LDU de Quito 2 – 1 Universidad Catolica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Championship Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 39.3% | 2.54 | -15.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 39.3% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Universidad Catolica | 32.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | LDU de Quito win | 10.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 72.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-0 | 10.8% |
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica stats
LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica recent form
| LDU de Quito |
LDLWDL |
| Universidad Catolica |
WWDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
LDU de Quito and Universidad Catolica going into this match
LDU de Quito record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Universidad Catolica record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4LDU de Quito wins
2Draws
4Universidad Catolica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Universidad Catolica | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-21 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-19 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Copa Ecuador | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-05 | Universidad Catolica | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 2-4 |
| 2025-05-24 | Universidad Catolica | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-24 | Universidad Catolica | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 2-4 |
| 2024-05-26 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-18 | LDU de Quito | Universidad Catolica | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 27.5%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.34 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.20 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.38 | 3.27 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.08 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▼ -0.07
X
3.30 —
2
3.10 —
8 snapshots recorded, from .