Aucas
vs
Macara
1 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | F. Posse | ||
| 45′ | F. Posse | ||
| 46′ | L. GustavinoR. Bolanos | ||
| 52′ | J. Jimenez | ||
| 55′ | A. I. Campana | ||
| 57′ | M. VieraM. Miranda | ||
| 60′ | L. ArroyoR. Monti | ||
| 60′ | A. MenaB. Oyola | ||
| 77′ | M. TelloT. Espinoza | ||
| 77′ | A. I. CampanaJ. Klinger | ||
| 84′ | F. PosseL. Ferro | ||
| 84′ | D. BolanosM. Medranda | ||
| 87′ | J. Estacio | ||
| 87′ | J. Estacio | ||
| 87′ | J. Estacio | ||
| 89′ | M. BurdissoC. Zambrano | ||
| 90′ | J. Marrufo | ||
| 90′ | E. Preciado |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 497 | Accurate passes | 207 |
Aucas vs Macara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aucas vs Macara
| Probability | Aucas | Draw | Macara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 32.6% | 28.0% |
| Market | 47.2% | 28.3% | 24.5% |
| Final | 45.3% | 29.4% | 25.4% |
| Edge | -7.8% | +4.3% | +3.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aucas and Macara expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Aucas and Macara attack and defence ratings
Aucas
Macara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aucas vs Macara: result vs prediction
Aucas 1 – 2 Macara
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Championship Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aucas vs Macara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 45.3% | 2.21 | -7.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 45.3% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Macara | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aucas win | 17.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-0 | 13.1% |
Aucas vs Macara stats
Aucas and Macara recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aucas and Macara going into this match
Aucas record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Macara record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Aucas vs Macara head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Aucas | Macara | Liga Pro | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-05 | Macara | Aucas | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Aucas | Macara | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Macara | Aucas | Liga Pro | 3-2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Aucas | Macara | Liga Pro | 1-4 |
| 2025-03-09 | Macara | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-20 | Aucas | Macara | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Macara | Aucas | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Macara | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-12 | Aucas | Macara | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aucas vs Macara odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.2%, draw 28.3%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 3.26 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 2.88 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.85 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.16 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.26 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .