Macara
vs
Emelec
1 – 0 Full time
| 37′ | Víctor Griffith | ||
| 45′ | Víctor GriffithJose Francisco Cevallos | ||
| 45′ | Gonzalo NápoliReixon David Saya Paredes | ||
| 50′ | Ronie Carrillo | ||
| 60′ | augustin campana | ||
| 66′ | Juan Pablo·Ruiz GomezJaime Ayoví | ||
| 66′ | luis FragozoTeodoro Arce | ||
| 73′ | M. VieraJ. Klinger | ||
| 77′ | Estalin SeguraOrlando Herrera | ||
| 81′ | augustin campanaTono Espinoza | ||
| 81′ | Martín Alejandro Tello EscobarMarlon Medranda | ||
| 87′ | Denilson BolanosJuan Espinoza |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 238 |
Macara vs Emelec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Macara vs Emelec
| Probability | Macara | Draw | Emelec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 26.8% | 22.1% |
| Market | 48.0% | 29.6% | 22.4% |
| Final | 48.8% | 28.9% | 22.3% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
Why Macara
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.02.
- The market prices Macara below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Macara and Emelec expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Macara and Emelec attack and defence ratings
Macara
Emelec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Macara vs Emelec: result vs prediction
Macara 1 – 0 Emelec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Macara vs Emelec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macara | 48.8% | 2.05 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macara | 48.8% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Emelec | 22.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Macara win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
Macara vs Emelec stats
Macara and Emelec recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Macara and Emelec going into this match
Macara record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Emelec record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
Macara vs Emelec head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Macara | Emelec | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | Macara | Emelec | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Macara | Emelec | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-18 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-10 | Macara | Emelec | Liga Pro | 1-3 |
| 2022-02-19 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 4-0 |
| 2021-08-15 | Emelec | Macara | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Macara vs Emelec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 29.3%, away 24.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.15 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.22 | 4.26 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.99 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.26 | 4.44 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.84 | 3.26 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .