Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 29

Emelec vs Manta FC

1 – 0 Full time

17′Gonzalo Nápoli
25′Aníbal Leguizamón
34′Ángel Ledesma
42′Juan Nazareno
53′Mateo Ortíz
56′G. NapoliL. Fragozo
56′J. RuizL. Klimowicz
63′Juan Nazareno
63′Juan Nazareno
65′R. BurbanoJ. Jimenez
66′A. LedesmaJ. Angulo
69′R. SayaJ. Ayovi
74′F. ZambranoW. Chavez
74′J. TroyaJ. Chala
75′A. Leguizamon
79′Edison Alexander Medina Caicedo
81′J. MonagaW. Chala
83′L. GomezO. Herrera
83′J. CevallosA. Mina
86′Estalin Segura
90′Luca Klimowicz

Estadio George Capwell, GuayaquilReferee: B. L. Salazar

Emelec 56%
Draw 26%
Manta FC 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
62 Possession % 38
5 Corners 4
13 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
368 Accurate passes 195

Emelec vs Manta FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Emelec vs Manta FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEmelecDrawManta FC
Model51.4%26.7%21.9%
Market58.1%25.5%16.4%
Final56.4%25.8%17.8%
Edge-6.8%+1.2%+5.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Emelec

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.02.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Emelec ↓ / Manta FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Emelec and Manta FC expected goals

Emelec 1.66
Manta FC 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.68

Emelec and Manta FC attack and defence ratings

Emelec

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Manta FC

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Emelec vs Manta FC: result vs prediction

Emelec 1 – 0 Manta FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Emelec vs Manta FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Emelec 56.4% 1.77 -6.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Emelec56.4%
Draw25.8%
Manta FC17.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
Both teams to scoreYes52.9%
No47.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.2%
12 (either side)74.2%
X2 (draw or away)43.6%
Handicap -1Emelec win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
1-010.3%
2-19.6%

Emelec vs Manta FC stats

Emelec and Manta FC recent form

newest first
Emelec DWLWDL
Manta FC LWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Emelec and Manta FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Emelec record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.

Manta FC record

  • They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Emelec vs Manta FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Emelec wins 3Draws 0Manta FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Manta FCEmelecLiga Pro0-0
2025-07-26Manta FCEmelecLiga Pro2-4
2025-04-06EmelecManta FCLiga Pro1-1
2025-01-25EmelecManta FCFriendlies Clubs2-2
2021-11-28EmelecManta FCLiga Pro4-0
2021-07-18Manta FCEmelecLiga Pro0-4
2014-04-26Manta FCEmelecLiga Pro1-3
2014-03-08EmelecManta FCLiga Pro4-1
2013-06-20Manta FCEmelecLiga Pro1-2
2013-03-14EmelecManta FCLiga Pro1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Emelec vs Manta FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.1%, draw 25.5%, away 16.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.56 3.80 6.00
1xBet 1.59 3.68 5.92
Bet365 1.65 3.40 5.50
BetVictor 1.50 3.20 4.60
Betano 1.62 3.60 5.60
Betfair 1.53 3.60 5.50
Dafabet 1.58 3.70 5.60
Marathonbet 1.53 3.55 5.70
Pinnacle 1.62 3.74 5.84
SBO 1.48 3.54 5.32
Superbet 1.60 3.75 5.45
Unibet 1.58 3.75 6.00
William Hill 1.55 3.50 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 ▲ +0.08
X 3.60 ▼ -0.24
2 5.60 ▼ -0.93

5 snapshots recorded, from .