Deportivo Cuenca
vs
Libertad
0 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | D. Coronel | ||
| 42′ | Cristhian Benalcazar | ||
| 45′ | D. CoronelHancel Batalla | ||
| 56′ | Melvin DiazDavid Gonzalez | ||
| 63′ | Antony ChereEnrique Rafael Caicedo Borja | ||
| 67′ | Enrique Rafael Caicedo Borja | ||
| 69′ | Jorge Ordonez | ||
| 69′ | Jackson Rodriguez | ||
| 70′ | Jorge OrdonezMatías Klimowicz | ||
| 79′ | Edison Vega | ||
| 84′ | Marcos Andres LopezRomario Ibarra | ||
| 84′ | Carlos ArboledaGermán Rivero | ||
| 84′ | Vilinton German Branda MerlinS. Castro | ||
| 90′ | cristhian valenciaJohan Estacio |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 344 |
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad
| Probability | Deportivo Cuenca | Draw | Libertad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 33.1% | 48.5% |
| Market | 53.0% | 26.8% | 20.2% |
| Final | 44.3% | 28.4% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -34.6% | +6.3% | +28.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad: result vs prediction
Deportivo Cuenca 0 – 1 Libertad
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 44.3% | 2.26 | -34.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 44.3% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Libertad | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.9% |
| No | 66.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cuenca win | 5.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.3% | |
| Loss | 81.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.0% |
| 0-0 | 17.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.4% |
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad stats
Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad recent form
| Deportivo Cuenca |
WLDLLL |
| Libertad |
DLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Cuenca and Libertad going into this match
Deportivo Cuenca record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Libertad record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Libertad | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Deportivo Cuenca | Libertad | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3-0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Libertad | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Deportivo Cuenca | Libertad | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Deportivo Cuenca | Libertad | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-28 | Libertad | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Deportivo Cuenca | Libertad | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Libertad | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 26.8%, away 20.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.57 | 4.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.44 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.57 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .