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Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 28

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC

1 – 0 Full time

20′Santiago Postel
27′Miller Bolaños
28′Yardely Rodriguez
35′Mateo Maccari
59′C. ArboledaJ. Ordonez
66′L. MancinelliD. Gonzalez
74′M. BolanosD. Dorregaray
78′C. Benalcazar
81′P. GonzalezA. Naula
81′S. LaurinoP. Mancilla
82′A. LopezE. Guevara
82′M. DiazD. Noboa
82′D. ArroyoK. Sambonino
87′E. MeroM. Palma

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, CuencaReferee: A. Diaz

Deportivo Cuenca 47%
Draw 27%
Guayaquil City FC 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
37 Possession % 63
4 Corners 2
12 Fouls 8
2 Saves 4
274 Accurate passes 521

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CuencaDrawGuayaquil City FC
Model20.2%29.7%50.2%
Market56.3%26.2%17.5%
Final47.3%27.1%25.6%
Edge-36.1%+3.4%+32.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cuen ↓ / Guayaquil City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 14% 11% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC expected goals

Deportivo Cuenca 0.81
Guayaquil City FC 1.42

Total expected goals: 2.23

Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Guayaquil City FC

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cuenca 1 – 0 Guayaquil City FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cuenca 47.3% 2.12 -36.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.5% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.4% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 79.8% 1.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cuenca47.3%
Draw27.1%
Guayaquil City FC25.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.4%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.7%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cuenca win6.6%
Push (exactly one goal)13.6%
Loss79.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.0%
1-113.6%
0-012.0%

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC stats

Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cuenca LDLLLW
Guayaquil City FC WWDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cuenca and Guayaquil City FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cuenca record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Guayaquil City FC record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Deportivo Cuenca wins 2Draws 3Guayaquil City FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Guayaquil City FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro0-1
2026-02-08Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FCFriendlies Clubs2-1
2023-09-16Guayaquil City FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro0-0
2023-04-15Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FCLiga Pro4-1
2022-07-12Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FCLiga Pro1-0
2022-02-20Guayaquil City FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-0
2021-07-31Guayaquil City FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-1
2021-02-27Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FCLiga Pro3-0
2020-12-19Guayaquil City FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-1
2020-08-15Deportivo CuencaGuayaquil City FCLiga Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 56.3%, draw 26.2%, away 17.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.73 3.45 5.00
1xBet 1.64 3.61 5.45
Bet365 1.60 3.50 5.50
BetVictor 1.53 3.10 4.50
Betano 1.67 3.50 5.40
Betfair 1.67 3.40 4.75
Dafabet 1.62 3.60 5.40
Marathonbet 1.59 3.44 5.25
Pinnacle 1.65 3.69 5.68
SBO 1.56 3.32 4.84
Superbet 1.63 3.65 5.30
Unibet 1.68 3.55 5.10
William Hill 1.62 3.25 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.63 ▼ -0.12
X 3.50 ▲ +0.16
2 5.25 ▲ +0.75

7 snapshots recorded, from .