Guayaquil City FC
vs
LDU de Quito
2 – 1 Full time
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito
| Probability | Guayaquil City FC | Draw | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 35.9% | 34.1% |
| Market | 26.1% | 29.5% | 44.4% |
| Final | 27.1% | 31.1% | 41.9% |
| Edge | +3.9% | +6.5% | -10.4% |
Why LDU de Quito
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Guayaquil City FC and LDU de Quito expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Guayaquil City FC and LDU de Quito attack and defence ratings
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito: result vs prediction
Guayaquil City FC 2 – 1 LDU de Quito
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 41.9% | 2.39 | -10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Guayaquil City FC | 27.1% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| LDU de Quito | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.6% |
| No | 64.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | LDU de Quito win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 66.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito stats
Guayaquil City FC and LDU de Quito recent form
| Guayaquil City FC |
WDDLDD |
| LDU de Quito |
WDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Guayaquil City FC and LDU de Quito going into this match
Guayaquil City FC record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
LDU de Quito record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | LDU de Quito | Guayaquil City FC | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Guayaquil City FC vs LDU de Quito odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 29.5%, away 44.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.08 |
| 1xBet | 3.58 | 3.10 | 2.14 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.15 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.10 | 2.03 |
| Marathonbet | 3.45 | 2.98 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | 3.61 | 3.06 | 2.16 |
| SBO | 3.16 | 2.93 | 1.95 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Unibet | 3.95 | 3.20 | 1.98 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 2.88 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .