LDU de Quito
vs
Emelec
2 – 0 Full time
LDU de Quito vs Emelec overview
Garuda Lions analysis: LDU de Quito vs Emelec
| Probability | LDU de Quito | Draw | Emelec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 36.3% | 19.3% |
| Market | 59.4% | 24.6% | 16.0% |
| Final | 55.6% | 27.5% | 16.8% |
| Edge | -14.9% | +11.6% | +3.3% |
Why LDU de Quito
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.03 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
LDU de Quito and Emelec expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.61
LDU de Quito and Emelec attack and defence ratings
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
LDU de Quito vs Emelec: result vs prediction
LDU de Quito 2 – 0 Emelec
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC — match page
- Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle — team news & stats
- Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC
- Tecnico Universitario v Guayaquil City FC — match page
- Barcelona SC vs Orense SC — team news & stats
- Delfin SC vs Aucas
- Libertad vs Macara — team news & stats
Before and after this match
LDU de Quito vs Emelec markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 55.6% | 1.80 | -14.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | LDU de Quito | 55.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Emelec | 16.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.6% |
| No | 70.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | LDU de Quito win | 18.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.1% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.2% |
| 1-0 | 19.3% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
LDU de Quito vs Emelec stats
LDU de Quito and Emelec recent form
| LDU de Quito |
DWDLWW |
| Emelec |
WDLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
LDU de Quito and Emelec going into this match
LDU de Quito record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Emelec record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 28 matches.
LDU de Quito vs Emelec head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Emelec | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | LDU de Quito | Emelec | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Emelec | LDU de Quito | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
LDU de Quito vs Emelec odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.4%, draw 24.6%, away 16.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 3.95 | 5.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 3.82 | 5.86 |
| 888Sport | 1.53 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.70 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.05 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.54 | 3.90 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 3.68 | 5.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.94 | 5.94 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.50 | 5.13 |
| Superbet | 1.56 | 3.90 | 5.65 |
| Unibet | 1.54 | 3.75 | 5.40 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .