Universidad Catolica
vs
Manta FC
5 – 1 Full time
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC
| Probability | Universidad Catolica | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.9% | 24.8% | 11.3% |
| Market | 71.5% | 18.3% | 10.2% |
| Final | 69.6% | 19.9% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -7.6% | +6.4% | +1.2% |
Why Universidad Catolica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Universidad Catolica and Manta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Universidad Catolica and Manta FC attack and defence ratings
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC: result vs prediction
Universidad Catolica 5 – 1 Manta FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Deportivo Cuenca v Mushuc Runa SC — match page
- Leones del Norte vs Independiente del Valle — team news & stats
- Tecnico Universitario v Guayaquil City FC — match page
- Barcelona SC vs Orense SC — team news & stats
- Delfin SC vs Aucas
- LDU de Quito v Emelec — match page
- Libertad vs Macara — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad Catolica | 69.6% | 1.44 | -7.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad Catolica win | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad Catolica | 69.6% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Manta FC | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad Catolica win | 37.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 36.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 11.1% |
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC stats
Universidad Catolica and Manta FC recent form
| Universidad Catolica |
DLWDWW |
| Manta FC |
LWLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Universidad Catolica and Manta FC going into this match
Universidad Catolica record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Manta FC record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Manta FC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Manta FC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 4-2 |
| 2025-03-15 | Universidad Catolica | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Universidad Catolica vs Manta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 18.4%, away 10.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 4.75 | 10.75 |
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 5.43 | 9.85 |
| 888Sport | 1.30 | 4.40 | 8.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 4.10 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 5.60 | 10.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 5.20 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.25 | 5.00 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.54 | 10.03 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.55 | 7.14 |
| Superbet | 1.30 | 5.20 | 8.30 |
| Unibet | 1.28 | 4.90 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .