Tecnico Universitario
vs
Guayaquil City FC
2 – 3 Full time
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC
| Probability | Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Guayaquil City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 31.9% | 44.1% |
| Market | 48.2% | 29.1% | 22.7% |
| Final | 42.1% | 29.8% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -24.2% | +2.8% | +21.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tecnico Universitario and Guayaquil City FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Tecnico Universitario and Guayaquil City FC attack and defence ratings
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC: result vs prediction
Tecnico Universitario 2 – 3 Guayaquil City FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 42.1% | 2.37 | -24.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 42.1% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Guayaquil City FC | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.9% |
| No | 58.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tecnico Universitario win | 8.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 75.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.1% | |
| 0-0 | 13.7% |
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC stats
Tecnico Universitario and Guayaquil City FC recent form
| Tecnico Universitario |
LLLWLL |
| Guayaquil City FC |
DDLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tecnico Universitario and Guayaquil City FC going into this match
Tecnico Universitario record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Guayaquil City FC record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Guayaquil City FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tecnico Universitario vs Guayaquil City FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 29.1%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.00 | 3.15 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.16 | 4.46 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.15 | 4.30 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.15 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.04 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91 | 3.16 | 4.70 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.83 | 3.50 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.15 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 2.88 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .