Garuda Lions
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Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 26

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC

3 – 0 Full time

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, GuayaquilReferee: Y. Zambrano

Barcelona SC 46%
Draw 29%
Orense SC 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Barcelona SC vs Orense SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBarcelona SCDrawOrense SC
Model38.8%33.6%27.5%
Market48.5%28.1%23.4%
Final46.1%29.5%24.5%
Edge-9.7%+5.6%+4.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Barcelona SC ↓ / Orense SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

Barcelona SC and Orense SC expected goals

Barcelona SC 1.09
Orense SC 0.87

Total expected goals: 1.96

Barcelona SC and Orense SC attack and defence ratings

Barcelona SC

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Orense SC

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC: result vs prediction

Barcelona SC 3 – 0 Orense SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Barcelona SC 46.1% 2.17 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.7% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 60.0% 1.67 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.1% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Barcelona SC46.1%
Draw29.5%
Orense SC24.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.3%
Under 2.568.7%
Both teams to scoreYes40.0%
No60.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.5%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)53.9%
Handicap -1Barcelona SC win16.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss61.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.4%
1-114.7%
1-014.0%

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC stats

Barcelona SC and Orense SC recent form

newest first
Barcelona SC DLDLLW
Orense SC WDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Barcelona SC and Orense SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Barcelona SC record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orense SC record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Barcelona SC wins 1Draws 1Orense SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Orense SCBarcelona SCLiga Pro1-1
2025-12-14Barcelona SCOrense SCLiga Pro2-1
2025-11-09Orense SCBarcelona SCLiga Pro1-2
2025-08-02Barcelona SCOrense SCLiga Pro2-0
2025-04-15Orense SCBarcelona SCLiga Pro3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Barcelona SC vs Orense SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.1%, draw 27.9%, away 23.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.69 3.65 4.90
1xBet 1.92 3.34 4.00
888Sport 1.67 3.25 4.60
Bet365 1.90 3.30 4.10
BetVictor 1.75 2.90 3.50
Betano 1.95 3.55 4.25
Betfair 1.80 3.30 4.00
Dafabet 1.93 3.25 3.90
Marathonbet 1.85 3.22 3.85
Pinnacle 1.92 3.40 4.24
SBO 1.92 2.99 3.41
Superbet 1.95 3.30 3.90
Unibet 1.72 3.40 4.40
William Hill 1.85 3.00 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.17
X 3.30 ▼ -0.10
2 3.95 ▼ -0.65

2 snapshots recorded, from .