Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 27

Orense SC vs Macara

1 – 2 Full time

14′A. I. Campana
18′A. I. Campana
34′D. BolanosJ. Espinoza
57′Stéfano Callegari
60′P. VelascoB. Quinonez
60′M. BermudezW. Chuchuca
63′A. I. CampanaM. Ayala
63′M. TelloC. Caicedo
71′B. Quinonez
74′S. QuinonezG. Achilier
74′V. BurgoaC. Ortiz
77′J. MohorJ. Jimenez
77′M. VieraJ. Klinger
81′Christian Ortíz
84′E. PluasN. Molina

Estadio 9 de Mayo, MachalaReferee: G. Araujo

Orense SC 36%
Draw 30%
Macara 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
61 Possession % 39
5 Corners 3
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
6 Saves 3
423 Accurate passes 246

Orense SC vs Macara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orense SC vs Macara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrense SCDrawMacara
Model23.0%29.6%47.4%
Market40.9%29.8%29.3%
Final36.4%29.7%33.8%
Edge-17.8%-0.2%+18.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orense SC ↓ / Macara → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Orense SC and Macara expected goals

Orense SC 0.91
Macara 1.41

Total expected goals: 2.33

Orense SC and Macara attack and defence ratings

Orense SC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Macara

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orense SC vs Macara: result vs prediction

Orense SC 1 – 2 Macara

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Orense SC vs Macara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orense SC 36.4% 2.75 -17.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.0% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orense SC36.4%
Draw29.7%
Macara33.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.1%
Under 2.558.9%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.2%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Orense SC win8.3%
Push (exactly one goal)14.8%
Loss77.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-112.5%
0-011.0%

Orense SC vs Macara stats

Orense SC and Macara recent form

newest first
Orense SC LWDLLW
Macara LDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orense SC and Macara going into this match

league record before kick-off

Orense SC record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Macara record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).

Orense SC vs Macara head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Orense SC wins 2Draws 4Macara wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03MacaraOrense SCLiga Pro1-2
2026-03-06Orense SCMacaraCONMEBOL Sudamericana0-1
2025-06-17Orense SCMacaraLiga Pro1-0
2025-02-16MacaraOrense SCLiga Pro1-0
2024-09-27Orense SCMacaraLiga Pro1-0
2024-04-13MacaraOrense SCLiga Pro0-0
2022-07-16Orense SCMacaraLiga Pro1-1
2022-03-01MacaraOrense SCLiga Pro1-0
2021-10-02Orense SCMacaraLiga Pro2-1
2021-04-17MacaraOrense SCLiga Pro1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orense SC vs Macara odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 29.8%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.15 3.15
1xBet 2.26 3.10 3.27
Bet365 2.20 3.10 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 2.75 2.88
Betano 2.27 3.10 3.25
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.10
Dafabet 2.26 3.10 3.15
Marathonbet 2.18 2.99 3.15
Pinnacle 2.30 3.14 3.38
SBO 2.21 2.86 2.86
Superbet 2.27 3.15 3.20
Unibet 2.28 3.20 3.05
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▼ -0.24
X 3.10 —
2 3.15 ▲ +0.45

9 snapshots recorded, from .