Manta FC
vs
Barcelona SC
2 – 0 Full time
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Barcelona SC
| Probability | Manta FC | Draw | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.9% | 31.1% | 50.0% |
| Market | 25.5% | 29.8% | 44.6% |
| Final | 23.9% | 30.1% | 46.0% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +1.3% | +5.4% |
Why Barcelona SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.71.
- The market prices Barcelona SC below the model: +5.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manta FC and Barcelona SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Manta FC and Barcelona SC attack and defence ratings
Manta FC
Barcelona SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC: result vs prediction
Manta FC 2 – 0 Barcelona SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona SC | 46.0% | 2.17 | +5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 23.9% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Barcelona SC | 46.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Barcelona SC win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.1% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC stats
Manta FC and Barcelona SC recent form
| Manta FC |
LLWLLD |
| Barcelona SC |
WDLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manta FC and Barcelona SC going into this match
Manta FC record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barcelona SC record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Barcelona SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-14 | Barcelona SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-15 | Manta FC | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manta FC vs Barcelona SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.5%, draw 29.8%, away 44.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 3.15 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 3.74 | 3.10 | 2.08 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.15 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.10 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 2.99 | 2.01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.80 | 3.07 | 2.09 |
| SBO | 3.20 | 2.82 | 1.98 |
| Superbet | 3.65 | 3.15 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.45 | 3.05 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 2.80 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .