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Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 27

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC

1 – 0 Full time

Estadio Bellavista, AmbatoReferee: A. Aragon

Mushuc Runa SC 58%
Draw 26%
Delfin SC 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMushuc Runa SCDrawDelfin SC
Model51.5%29.2%19.4%
Market59.8%24.4%15.8%
Final57.7%25.6%16.7%
Edge-8.3%+4.8%+3.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Mushuc Runa SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mushuc Runa SC ↓ / Delfin SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 7% 1 14% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC expected goals

Mushuc Runa SC 1.46
Delfin SC 0.80

Total expected goals: 2.25

Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC attack and defence ratings

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Delfin SC

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC: result vs prediction

Mushuc Runa SC 1 – 0 Delfin SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mushuc Runa SC 57.7% 1.73 -8.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.3% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.5% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mushuc Runa SC57.7%
Draw25.6%
Delfin SC16.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.2%
Under 2.560.8%
Both teams to scoreYes43.4%
No56.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.3%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)42.3%
Handicap -1Mushuc Runa SC win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss48.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.1%
1-113.4%
0-011.7%

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC stats

Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC recent form

newest first
Mushuc Runa SC DDWWLD
Delfin SC LLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mushuc Runa SC and Delfin SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mushuc Runa SC record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Delfin SC record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Mushuc Runa SC wins 1Draws 6Delfin SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro1-0
2025-06-15Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-1
2025-02-18Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SCLiga Pro2-0
2024-11-08Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro4-2
2024-05-19Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SCLiga Pro5-0
2023-09-16Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SCLiga Pro2-0
2023-04-16Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-0
2022-09-25Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro0-0
2022-04-09Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SCLiga Pro1-2
2021-11-28Delfin SCMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mushuc Runa SC vs Delfin SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 24.4%, away 15.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.56 3.75 6.20
1xBet 1.55 3.90 5.97
Bet365 1.53 3.70 6.50
Betano 1.57 3.75 6.10
Betfair 1.50 3.80 6.00
Dafabet 1.55 3.80 5.80
Marathonbet 1.49 3.76 5.75
Pinnacle 1.54 3.90 5.88
SBO 1.48 3.45 4.94
Superbet 1.56 3.85 5.75
Unibet 1.58 3.80 5.60
William Hill 1.53 3.50 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.54 ▼ -0.01
X 3.78 ▼ -0.02
2 5.84 ▲ +0.14

10 snapshots recorded, from .