Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 28

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC

0 – 0 Full time

14′Jose Carabali
18′Marcelo Weigandt
28′Arnaldo Zambrano
34′Cristopher Angulo
46′M. WeigandtJ. W. Cuero Mercado
46′G. VillamilL. Rodriguez
79′N. BazanE. Caicedo
81′Josué William·Cuero Mercado
81′S. Gonzalez BaqueroA. Alvarado
83′Rodrigo Formento
85′M. PereaF. Mina
88′C. AnguloK. Peralta
88′R. IbarraB. Corozo
89′Bryan Corozo
90′Josué William·Cuero Mercado

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, QuitoReferee: Y. Zambrano

LDU de Quito 50%
Draw 28%
Mushuc Runa SC 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 2
60 Possession % 40
3 Corners 7
16 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 2
2 Saves 0
404 Accurate passes 238

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLDU de QuitoDrawMushuc Runa SC
Model39.2%35.8%25.1%
Market54.2%25.6%20.2%
Final50.4%28.1%21.4%
Edge-15.0%+10.2%+4.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LDU de Quito ↓ / Mushuc Runa SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 12% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

LDU de Quito and Mushuc Runa SC expected goals

LDU de Quito 1.00
Mushuc Runa SC 0.74

Total expected goals: 1.74

LDU de Quito and Mushuc Runa SC attack and defence ratings

LDU de Quito

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC: result vs prediction

LDU de Quito 0 – 0 Mushuc Runa SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LDU de Quito 50.4% 1.98 -15.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.7% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 65.7% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LDU de Quito50.4%
Draw28.1%
Mushuc Runa SC21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.3%
Under 2.574.7%
Both teams to scoreYes34.3%
No65.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)49.6%
Handicap -1LDU de Quito win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.9%
1-016.2%
1-114.3%

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC stats

LDU de Quito and Mushuc Runa SC recent form

newest first
LDU de Quito LWDWDL
Mushuc Runa SC WDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LDU de Quito and Mushuc Runa SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

LDU de Quito record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mushuc Runa SC record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6LDU de Quito wins 3Draws 1Mushuc Runa SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12Mushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-3
2025-08-03LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro2-1
2025-04-14Mushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-0
2024-10-26LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro1-1
2024-05-04Mushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoLiga Pro0-1
2023-12-02LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-1
2023-06-17Mushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoLiga Pro2-2
2022-09-10Mushuc Runa SCLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-2
2022-04-24LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-2
2022-03-17LDU de QuitoMushuc Runa SCCONMEBOL Sudamericana1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 25.6%, away 20.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.69 3.75 4.65
1xBet 1.72 3.61 4.72
Bet365 1.70 3.50 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 3.10 3.90
Betano 1.72 3.65 4.60
Betfair 1.62 3.60 4.75
Dafabet 1.72 3.60 4.50
Marathonbet 1.66 3.48 4.55
Pinnacle 1.74 3.67 4.69
SBO 1.76 3.17 3.80
Superbet 1.74 3.60 4.50
Unibet 1.64 3.90 4.90
William Hill 1.70 3.30 4.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▲ +0.13
X 3.60 ▼ -0.30
2 4.55 ▼ -0.80

5 snapshots recorded, from .