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Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 29

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito

1 – 3 Full time

19′L. Estupinan
52′M. Estrada
59′J. CarabaliL. Segovia
63′B. DelgadoL. B. Torres Nazareno
63′A. CelaC. Arteaga
64′L. Rodriguez
68′R. AdeR. Mina
71′Gian Franco Allala
73′L. EstupinanA. Castillo
74′Rafael Chila
81′Y. ArceM. Castano
81′D. ArmasW. Caicedo
86′F. CornejoJ. Rodriguez
86′L. RodriguezS. Gonzalez Baquero
86′J. CorozoDeyverson
90′J. Rodriguez

Estadio Bellavista, AmbatoReferee: G. Gonzalez

Tecnico Universitario 24%
Draw 30%
LDU de Quito 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 5
38 Possession % 62
4 Corners 6
9 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
193 Accurate passes 376

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTecnico UniversitarioDrawLDU de Quito
Model23.0%34.5%42.5%
Market24.2%28.6%47.2%
Final23.9%30.0%46.0%
Edge-1.2%+5.9%-4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why LDU de Quito

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.73.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tecnico Univer ↓ / LDU de Quito → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 16% 10% 1 11% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Tecnico Universitario and LDU de Quito expected goals

Tecnico Universitario 0.73
LDU de Quito 1.09

Total expected goals: 1.82

Tecnico Universitario and LDU de Quito attack and defence ratings

Tecnico Universitario

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.39 +39%

LDU de Quito

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito: result vs prediction

Tecnico Universitario 1 – 3 LDU de Quito

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LDU de Quito 46.0% 2.17 -4.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.1% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.5% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tecnico Universitario23.9%
Draw30.0%
LDU de Quito46.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.4%
Under 2.572.6%
Both teams to scoreYes35.6%
No64.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.0%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)76.1%
Handicap -1LDU de Quito win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss57.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.5%
0-116.4%
1-114.2%

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito stats

Tecnico Universitario and LDU de Quito recent form

newest first
Tecnico Universitario LWLLLL
LDU de Quito DLWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tecnico Universitario and LDU de Quito going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tecnico Universitario record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

LDU de Quito record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Tecnico Universitario wins 0Draws 10LDU de Quito wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-1
2025-09-28Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-3
2025-05-31LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro3-2
2024-10-19Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-2
2024-04-27LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro1-0
2023-11-09Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de QuitoLiga Pro0-2
2023-05-19LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-1
2022-07-30LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-0
2022-03-12Tecnico UniversitarioLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-2
2021-11-27LDU de QuitoTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.2%, draw 28.6%, away 47.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.80 3.35 1.96
1xBet 3.92 3.24 1.97
Bet365 4.00 3.30 1.90
BetVictor 3.25 2.88 1.83
Betano 3.90 3.25 1.98
Betfair 3.60 3.25 1.91
Dafabet 3.85 3.25 1.96
Marathonbet 3.82 3.08 1.91
Pinnacle 4.11 3.15 2.02
SBO 3.26 2.91 1.93
Superbet 3.85 3.30 1.97
Unibet 3.55 3.20 2.10
William Hill 3.50 3.00 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.82 ▲ +0.02
X 3.24 ▲ +0.04
2 1.96 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .