Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Delfin SC
vs
Universidad Catolica
0 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | G. AnangonoD. Nazareno | ||
| 46′ | J. ArceK. Ushina | ||
| 46′ | B. PenaT. Ozaeta | ||
| 65′ | B. PalaciosJ. Fajardo | ||
| 65′ | J. EvansA. Londono | ||
| 70′ | D. LunaL. Cornejo | ||
| 71′ | J. MorochoE. Espinoza | ||
| 72′ | M. AlonsoE. Mejia | ||
| 73′ | A. RodriguezM. Diaz | ||
| 87′ | E. Mejia |
Delfin SC
26%
Draw
28%
Universidad Catolica
46%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 14 |
| 8 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 347 | Accurate passes | 244 |
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica
| Probability | Delfin SC | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 28.8% | 49.2% |
| Market | 26.9% | 27.8% | 45.2% |
| Final | 25.7% | 28.1% | 46.2% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +0.9% | +3.9% |
Why Universidad Catolica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Universidad Catolica below the model: +3.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Delfin SC and Universidad Catolica expected goals
Delfin SC
0.92
Universidad Catolica
1.48
Total expected goals: 2.40
Delfin SC and Universidad Catolica attack and defence ratings
Delfin SC
Attack
0.74 -26%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Universidad Catolica
Attack
1.41 +41%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica: result vs prediction
Delfin SC 0 – 1 Universidad Catolica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Universidad Catolica | 46.2% | 2.16 | +3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 25.7% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Universidad Catolica | 46.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Universidad Catolica win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 50.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica stats
Delfin SC and Universidad Catolica recent form
| Delfin SC |
WLLLDL |
| Universidad Catolica |
DDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Delfin SC and Universidad Catolica going into this match
Delfin SC record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Universidad Catolica record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Delfin SC wins
4Draws
4Universidad Catolica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Universidad Catolica | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Universidad Catolica | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-18 | Delfin SC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-23 | Universidad Catolica | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Delfin SC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-24 | Universidad Catolica | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 2-2 |
| 2023-05-14 | Delfin SC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Delfin SC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-29 | Universidad Catolica | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 4-2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Delfin SC | Universidad Catolica | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.9%, draw 27.8%, away 45.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.44 | 3.42 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 2.90 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 3.30 | 1.98 |
| Pinnacle | 3.40 | 3.56 | 2.10 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.36 ▲ +0.02
X
3.25 ▼ -0.12
2
2.00 ▼ -0.02
4 snapshots recorded, from .