Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Aucas
vs
Barcelona SC
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | M. A. Carcelen Carabali | ||
| 45′ | Michael Carcelén | ||
| 46′ | T. MartinezD. Diaz | ||
| 46′ | T. RodriguezD. Benedetto | ||
| 59′ | Jefferson Intriago | ||
| 64′ | J. IntriagoJ. R. Quinonez Ruiz | ||
| 64′ | L. CanoE. Mendoza | ||
| 71′ | Hamilton Piedra | ||
| 73′ | Darío Benedetto | ||
| 76′ | J. PerlazaJ. Garcia | ||
| 82′ | E. PreciadoL. Arroyo | ||
| 88′ | A. MenaM. Vera | ||
| 90′ | Luis Arroyo | ||
| 90′ | Alex Zova | ||
| 90′ | P. GuzmanT. Serpa | ||
| 90′ | J. R. Quinonez Ruiz |
Aucas
51%
Draw
28%
Barcelona SC
20%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 34 | Possession % | 66 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 4 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 238 | Accurate passes | 480 |
Aucas vs Barcelona SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aucas vs Barcelona SC
| Probability | Aucas | Draw | Barcelona SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 34.1% | 22.8% |
| Market | 54.2% | 26.5% | 19.3% |
| Final | 51.5% | 28.4% | 20.2% |
| Edge | -11.1% | +7.6% | +3.5% |
Why Aucas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Aucas and Barcelona SC expected goals
Aucas
1.11
Barcelona SC
0.74
Total expected goals: 1.85
Aucas and Barcelona SC attack and defence ratings
Aucas
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Barcelona SC
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
0.88 -12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aucas vs Barcelona SC: result vs prediction
Aucas 1 – 1 Barcelona SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito
- Independiente del Valle v Macara — match page
- Delfin SC vs Universidad Catolica — team news & stats
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad — team news & stats
- Emelec v Manta FC — match page
- Mushuc Runa SC v Leones del Norte — match page
- Orense SC vs Guayaquil City FC — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Aucas vs Barcelona SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 51.5% | 1.94 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 51.5% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Barcelona SC | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.3% |
| No | 63.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aucas win | 18.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 56.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-0 | 16.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Aucas vs Barcelona SC stats
Aucas and Barcelona SC recent form
| Aucas |
DWWLWW |
| Barcelona SC |
WLWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aucas and Barcelona SC going into this match
Aucas record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Barcelona SC record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aucas vs Barcelona SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Aucas wins
4Draws
3Barcelona SC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Aucas | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Aucas | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-12 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-07 | Aucas | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 3-2 |
| 2023-05-07 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 5-1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Aucas | Barcelona SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2022-11-06 | Barcelona SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aucas vs Barcelona SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.2%, draw 26.5%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.73 | 3.52 | 4.82 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 3.64 | 4.95 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.25 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.69 ▼ -0.50
X
3.45 ▲ +0.33
2
4.74 ▲ +1.42
4 snapshots recorded, from .