Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Manta FC
vs
Aucas
0 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Juan Jimenez | ||
| 62′ | Cristhoper ZambranoMaverick Vera | ||
| 63′ | José MonagaFeyiseitan Asagidigbi | ||
| 63′ | Luis GustavinoLuis Arroyo | ||
| 63′ | José AndradeAndres Mena | ||
| 71′ | J. VergésRobert Burbano | ||
| 75′ | Piero Andrés Guzmán ArroboB. Oyola | ||
| 75′ | Rafael Monti AzpiazúAlexander Bolaños | ||
| 75′ | Jostin AlmanJean Carlos Blanco Becerra | ||
| 75′ | Ángel LedesmaJose Enrique Angulo Caicedo | ||
| 78′ | Thiago Serpa | ||
| 90′ | Jeremy Mina |
Manta FC
26%
Draw
30%
Aucas
44%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 4 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 408 | Accurate passes | 244 |
Manta FC vs Aucas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Aucas
| Probability | Manta FC | Draw | Aucas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.8% | 29.6% | 47.6% |
| Market | 26.4% | 30.3% | 43.3% |
| Final | 25.5% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| Edge | -3.6% | -0.7% | +4.3% |
Why Aucas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Aucas below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Manta FC and Aucas expected goals
Manta FC
0.90
Aucas
1.41
Total expected goals: 2.31
Manta FC and Aucas attack and defence ratings
Manta FC
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Aucas
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manta FC vs Aucas: result vs prediction
Manta FC 0 – 0 Aucas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manta FC vs Aucas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 44.4% | 2.25 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 25.5% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Aucas | 44.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aucas win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 12.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Manta FC vs Aucas stats
Manta FC and Aucas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manta FC and Aucas going into this match
Manta FC record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aucas record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC vs Aucas head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
0Manta FC wins
6Draws
3Aucas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Aucas | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-16 | Manta FC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-17 | Aucas | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Aucas | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2021-03-21 | Manta FC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2017-10-29 | Aucas | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2017-08-26 | Manta FC | Aucas | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2017-06-11 | Aucas | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2017-04-08 | Manta FC | Aucas | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manta FC vs Aucas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.1%, draw 30.3%, away 43.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.80 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 3.57 | 3.02 | 2.18 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 2.70 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.65 | 3.05 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.05 |
| Marathonbet | 3.44 | 2.91 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.68 | 3.07 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 3.20 | 2.93 | 2.02 |
| Unibet | 3.80 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 2.80 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.44 ▼ -0.26
X
3.00 ▼ -0.20
2
2.10 ▲ +0.10
10 snapshots recorded, from .