Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Relegation Group - 1
Manta FC
vs
Orense SC
2 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | Pedro Velasco | ||
| 22′ | Glendys Calos Mina | ||
| 27′ | Rolando David SilvaJordy Erick Ortiz Caicedo | ||
| 29′ | Jose Enrique Angulo Caicedo | ||
| 35′ | Jean Carlos Blanco Becerra | ||
| 44′ | Octavio Moscarelli | ||
| 45′ | Gabriel Achilier | ||
| 55′ | Jose Enrique Angulo CaicedoJostin Alman | ||
| 55′ | Glendys Calos MinaJosé Monaga | ||
| 56′ | Andrés Parrales | ||
| 56′ | Juan Jimenez | ||
| 63′ | Pedro VelascoCarlos Aurelio Barrio Cuadrado | ||
| 63′ | Andrés ParralesÁngel Mena | ||
| 63′ | Michael Alessandro Bermúdez ReyesWilson Arturo Chuchuca Arreaga | ||
| 65′ | Juan JimenezJuan Nazareno | ||
| 65′ | Jean Carlos Blanco BecerraÁngel Ledesma | ||
| 66′ | Jefferson Troya | ||
| 74′ | J. VergésRobert Burbano | ||
| 80′ | Valentín BurgoaBryan Elián Viñán Rodríguez | ||
| 85′ | Jostin Alman | ||
| 86′ | Ángel Mena |
Manta FC
35%
Draw
30%
Orense SC
36%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 6 | Saves | 4 |
| 215 | Accurate passes | 296 |
Manta FC vs Orense SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Orense SC
| Probability | Manta FC | Draw | Orense SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 27.3% | 31.1% |
| Market | 32.7% | 30.3% | 37.1% |
| Final | 34.9% | 29.5% | 35.6% |
| Edge | +8.9% | -3.0% | -6.0% |
Why Orense SC
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
54%
No goals
7%
Manta FC and Orense SC expected goals
Manta FC
1.53
Orense SC
1.30
Total expected goals: 2.82
Manta FC and Orense SC attack and defence ratings
Manta FC
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Orense SC
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Manta FC vs Orense SC: result vs prediction
Manta FC 2 – 1 Orense SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manta FC vs Orense SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orense SC | 35.6% | 2.81 | -6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 34.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Orense SC | 35.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orense SC win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.1% | |
| Loss | 68.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 7.9% |
Manta FC vs Orense SC stats
Manta FC and Orense SC recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manta FC and Orense SC going into this match
Manta FC record
- They have won 5 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orense SC record
- They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC vs Orense SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Manta FC wins
6Draws
2Orense SC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Manta FC | Orense SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Orense SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-06-24 | Manta FC | Orense SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Orense SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-28 | Manta FC | Orense SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-04 | Orense SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2019-12-08 | Orense SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 2-1 |
| 2019-12-03 | Manta FC | Orense SC | Liga Pro Serie B | 2-2 |
| 2019-10-30 | Manta FC | Orense SC | Liga Pro Serie B | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-10 | Orense SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manta FC vs Orense SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 30.3%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.91 | 3.04 | 2.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 2.87 | 3.05 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 2.91 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| SBO | 2.68 | 2.90 | 2.31 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.80 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.78 ▲ +0.28
X
3.00 ▼ -0.15
2
2.45 ▼ -0.32
8 snapshots recorded, from .